The Right Opinion
The Economic Paradox No One Wants to Talk About
There is an economic paradox that few people understand, much less wish to acknowledge, because to do so would reveal the level of societal deterioration that has caused it. In simple terms, there are two schools of economic thought: one posits that massive amounts of government spending, aka stimulus in all its odious forms, is the only way to save an economy. The other posits that until massive over-spending by government is brought under control, aka austerity, economies over-burdened by debts and deficits will continue to founder. Who's right? There is merit to both arguments -- but only because we've reached the aforementioned level of societal deterioration. Let me explain.
For decades, the growth of government both here and in Europe, has been inexorable. For perspective's sake, it should be noted that the last budget submitted by the Clinton administration for fiscal year 2001 was $1.9 trillion. Exactly ten years later, president Obama introduced a budget of $3.8 trillion. Thus in the space of a single decade, spending by the federal government doubled.
What has such doubling produced? A myriad of things, but one of the foremost is an American public that has become more dependent on government, not just for benefits, but employment. This is no accident, since the more such largesse emanates from Washington, D.C., the greater the power that flows back to Congress and the president as a result. It is also no secret that one political party would like this particular dynamic to go on unimpeded, until the nation is driven into fiscal oblivion. Whether that ambition is the result of ideological stupidity or a Machiavellian plan to create a totalitarian state full of Americans who can no longer function without the "benevolent" hand of government controlling every aspect of their lives, is one of the prevailing issues of the current election season.
Unfortunately, we have reached sufficient levels of dependency, that the economic paradox occurs. We all know that $16 trillion of debt is a time bomb, and that the only way we can save ourselves -- in the long run -- is to bring revenues in line with expenditures first, and then have revenues exceed expenditures, so that we can begin paying down the mountain of debt we have already accumulated. Hence, the austerity argument is legitimized.
Except that it isn't, in the same way that taking a heroin junkie completely off heroin all at once will cause a pretty unpleasant experience for the junkie. Hence we have methadone clinics, created (ostensibly) to wean the junkie off drugs incrementally. In economic terms, as we are seeing it played out in Europe, the attempt to wean entire societies of "junkies," i.e. those addicted to government largesse, off the government teat has created havoc. Furthermore, and this is where it gets to the nub, societies structured to live off government, the ones where government is the major employer -- even as that employment has driven those societies to fiscal insolvency -- are now faced with the economic "ripple effect" that the laying off government employees produces.
Ergo, in step the progressive economists who can then posit that austerity is a "failure," because the unemployed government worker is no longer capable of buying goods and services from his private sector counterpart, who is no longer able to pay the taxes necessary to solve the government debt crisis that necessitated the layoffs of public sector workers in the first place. Thus, the progressives argue, it becomes imperative to continue "priming the pump" with fiscal stimulus, in order to avoid the economic contraction that austerity is bringing to people in Europe.
Sound good, until one realizes that stimulus is nothing more than an increase in the very same government debt -- and government dependency -- that brought Europe to its knees in the first place. In short, fiscal stimulus is an effort to kick the can down the road, even as the debt load piled onto future generations becomes so obscene that it would take a miracle to get out from under it. The progressive "solution" to that problem? Tax the "rich," which includes people making $200K a year and businesses making $250K -- now. I say now because the progressives' dirty little secret is that that particular threshold will have to be lowered considerably in order to maintain the level of government spending, interest payments -- and dependency -- that those who wish to see as much power as possible concentrated in government hands need to maintain that concentration. In other words, those currently suckered in by the siren song of class warfare have precious little idea how far down the income ladder the term "rich" can be extended to accommodate such ambitions.
Furthermore, as some Americans have begun to notice, "priming the pump" is debasing the hell out of our currency.
The responsible solution to this whole mess is the one that few people are willing to embrace: weaning people off government dependency as quickly as possible, and educating them as to why it is necessary. In other words, without the expansion of the "on your own" society that the current president and his fellow Marxist/socialist soulmates despise, we are doomed -- or ripe for a government takeover.
In the coming months, Americans will be bombarded by both fiscal arguments. It is important for them to remember that the argument against austerity is only legitimate because progressives have successfully turned a critical mass of people on both sides of the Atlantic into government-dependent lemmings with little or no ambition or dignity, even as they wholly embrace a giant sense of self-entitlement. It is a sense of self-entitlement so all-encompassing that no amount of economic reality -- as in we've run out of other people's money to spend -- can penetrate it. That's social deterioration in a nutshell.
Hence the paradox -- and the precipice.

20 Comments
alex torello
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 9:31 AM
Arnold: You touch on 2 critical points: First: the sheer numbers of those dependent in some way on government largesse is past the tipping point, and second: the cure will cause a backlash on a scope we have yet to see.You can pull off the bandage quickly and have a split-second of pain, our pull slowly and extend the drama.
wjm
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 11:55 AM
government-dependent lemmings with little or no ambition or dignityThese are the usefull idiots as described by Lenin. They vote for their own slavery to the Demoplantation, misery shared by all. The insanity of Marxist Statist Ideology, and it ALWAYS FAILS.
Son of Liberty
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 12:05 PM
@mac - perhaps once the gummint here tries to wean all of its dependent morons off the teat, that is when the B.S. will start. We already have the OWS (Occupied With Stupidity) folks camping out in public parks and crapping on cop cars, harrassing people going to work, trashing State government buildings, celebrating commie holidays (like today). So maybe the B.S. is already starting and we'll get to clean house sooner than later. I dunno, but times sure are gettin perilous.Keep yer powduh drah en everthin else well oiled!
Capt. Call
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 12:07 PM
I'm all for pulling the bandage off quickly. I do not think it can be pulled off slowly because conservatives do not hold office long enough. The liberals will demonize the conservatives, if even one red cent less is spent on handouts. The liberals will not work with us to end the crisis; they will blame it (the crisis) on conservatives for trying to fix it.
Brian
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 1:01 PM
I'm with Capt Call on this. Pull the bandage off quickly. Or, to use your drug addict metaphor, cold turkey is the only way. It's hell, but if you survive you come out stronger in the end. If you don't survive, chances were you would have been back on the drugs after the methodone treatment anyway.
Murph
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 1:02 PM
Good and troubling piece. I've been hoping that someone would propose a freeze on the national government's total spending. Eventually (I'm guessing in maybe 15 years), economic growth would balance the budget and then produce a surplus. Such a plan would obviously require keeping the austerity party in office, but I'm afraid that pulling the bandage off any more quickly would be economically calamitous not only for those among us who depend on our piece (earned or otherwise) of the government pie but for the economy as a whole. I wouldn't be surprised that a similar fear tempers some of the Republican proposals.
Todd
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 2:03 PM
No one has ever explained to me why under the Bush Admin's last year there was less than $500 billion deficit and then under Obama we now have a $1.3 trillion debt. Where is that extra money being spent? I understand the first year and the stimulus, but was that just added to the baseline?May God and our grandchildren have mercy on us.
todd
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 2:04 PM
Obama has a $1.3 trillion defict, not just debt. Sorry.....
Major Stu
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 2:07 PM
Capt., it's already happening. Nancy Pelosi is saying the elimination of $7.8 billion for the "demonstration project" to extend Medicare Advantage for one year is killing women, affecting women's health, denying contraception, etc. The "demonstration project" is a political contrivance to see if continuing Medicare Advantage for an additional year will continue to work the same way as it has. The ostensible justification is that without the "demonstration project", Medicare Advantage comes to a screeching halt in October 2012, weeks before the presidential election in November, alarming millions of seniors who have elected participation. Need I further elaborate?
Fed Up
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 2:58 PM
With all the talk about government overspending, I hope many on the right will keep some government spending into perspective. While I agree that our government spends far too much on welfare programs, food stamps, illegal alien health care, overseas despotic governments, and like copious federal government handout programs, please do not group all people who receive money from the government as "welfare" recipients as one New York Times columnist did. Who am I talking about? I am talking about career military retired members who were promised pay and benefits for services performed for 20 or more years to our country. This is not welfare or "entitlements," but instead pay and benefits for a contract honored and fulfilled for the American people and US Government. Please do not group military pay and health care into, or even close to, the category of welfare or entitlements. It is no such thing and to even suggest it is dishonest. It is an attack on capitalism itself, and thumbs its nose at the rule of law in fulfillment of contractual obligations! Leave our career troops earned and contracted pay and benefits alone!
mick
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 3:54 PM
the greatest threat to our liberty will not come from without, but arise from within and will come to be when too great a portion of the electorate rely on the government for either their sustenance or their livelihood.i believe this comes from a book puiblished back in the 50's, Liberals and The Constitution
mick
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 3:55 PM
the greatest threat to our liberty will not come from without, but arise from within and will come to be when too great a portion of the electorate rely on the government for either their sustenance or their livelihood.i believe this comes from a book puiblished back in the 50's, Liberals and The Constitution
Attila
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 4:44 PM
Actually the pain of austerity should be much less than described. Consider that the typical government worker costs almost twice as much as an equivalent private sector worker. Cutting the government worker loose leaves enough capital (whether tax relief or reduced government borrowing) in the system to hire TWO private sector workers. Further, these workers will produce goods and services which the economy (that is, you and me) values rather than burdensome regulation and other interferences (dont be fooled; corporations dont pay for these, WE do). Even transfer payments such as Social Security can be reformed without much pain. Where is the pain from working a couple of years more before retirement as long as you have the opportunity to plan for it, say 5 or ten years down the road? Personally I would not have retired if I had the option to continue.
James D. Best
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 5:22 PM
Good article, but I still support going cold turkey. After WWII we had comparable debt and millions of men returning to the labor force. In 1947, the newly elected 80th Congress balanced the budget, dismantled price controls, sent the XXII Amendment to the states for ratification, and passed the Taft-Hartley Act, which curtailed union power. All the while, Roosevelt cronies were screaming that Republicans were driving the country back into the Great Depression. The next twenty years proved progressives wrong, but they refuse to learn from mere facts. Oh yeah, the 80th "Do nothing" Congress lost so many seats that it switched back Democratic. They were brave ... but how brave do you have to be when your last job involved people shooting at you.
TJS
Tuesday, May 1, 2012 at 7:24 PM
There is another huge cost of government which could be removed from the neck of the economy - regulations compliance. Personally, I bet half the regulations could be dropped with virtually no ill effects.Regulations costs are mostly on business, then passed through to their customers. An SBA study from 2010 put the costs of 2008 federal regulations at $1.75 trillion per year. Regulations have another huge, secondary effect - lost opportunities because of the distorting effects of regulations. We should drop half the regulations in the US and see what happens. That would boost the economy about $1.5 trillion per year, or 10% of GDP. That would offset a lot of austerity. There are always improvements which can be made. Things are simpler than we assume. There are many win-win answers to the problems created by our obscenely bloated governments - federal, state and local.