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The Scientific War on Science
· Friday, December 11, 2009
WASHINGTON -- An e-mail from my conscience: Reviewing your assorted botches during the past year, consider this one. In May, you mocked: "It is possible that climate change skeptics -- the dominant Republican voices -- have uncovered a vast scientific delusion, like the belief in phlogiston or phrenology. But ... this seems unlikely." In light of the incriminating e-mails hacked from the Climatic Research Unit of East Anglia University shouldn't you reconsider? Not since you pronounced "Jon & Kate Plus 8" a tribute to "normality and innocence" has your judgment been so poor.
My answer: Well, you've got me on Jon and Kate. But the hacked climate e-mails reveal a scandal, not a hoax. Even if every question raised in these e-mails were conceded, the cumulative case for global climate disruption would be strong. The evidence is found, not only in East Anglian computers, but in changing crop zones, declining species, melting ice sheets and glaciers, thinning sea ice and rising sea levels. No other scientific theory explains these changes as well as global warming related to the rise in greenhouse gas emissions since the Industrial Revolution. Over millennia, the climate shifts in natural cycles. But we seem to be increasing the pace of change so rapidly that plants, animals and humans may not be able to adequately adjust.
The claim of recent global cooling is deceptive. It is true that 2008 was cooler than 1998. But 1998 was the hottest year recorded since the advent of reliable records in the 1800s, while 2008 was the ninth hottest. Despite yearly variations, the overall trend goes in one direction. All 10 of the hottest years on record have come since 1997.
But the hacked e-mails are not irrelevant. They reveal another sort of warming -- an overheated academic world in which hard science melts into politics.
Some prominent climate scientists involved in these e-mail exchanges have clearly abandoned a profession for a cause. They appear to exaggerate their public certainty on disputed issues, shade the presentation of information for political effect, tamper with the peer-review process, resist reasonable requests for supporting data and urge the destruction of e-mails to avoid embarrassment. Other scientists in these e-mail chains resist these abuses. But the dominant voices are ideological. The attitude seems to be: Insiders can question, if they don't go too far. Outsiders who threaten the movement are "idiots."
This attitude is demonstrated, not only by private e-mails, but also by the public reaction of prominent scientists to those e-mails. They show "scientists at work." They are "pretty innocuous." They are "understandable and mostly excusable." "We are all humans; and humans come with dogma as standard equipment." This "kind of language and kidding goes on verbally all the time." Criticism is based merely on "ignorance" and critics have "more screws loose than the Space Shuttle Challenger." It is the scientific equivalent of discounting Watergate as a "second-rate burglary."
Climate scientists are clearly accustomed to deference. It is a community coddled by global elites, extensively funded by governments, celebrated by Hollywood and honored with international prizes.
But outside the Copenhagen bubble, the field of climate science is deep in a crisis of professional credibility, which many scientists seem too insular to recognize. Fifty-nine percent of Americans now believe it is at least somewhat likely that some scientists have falsified research to prop up global warming claims. If the practices at East Anglia are dismissed as "scientists at work," skepticism will rise as surely as temperatures.
It often goes unnoticed how much we rely on the self-enforced standards of professions -- journalists who bury their biases to report the news, judges who suspend their own views to enforce the law. If we view these professionals as politically motivated, we no longer trust the information or judgments they provide.
This professional objectivity is precisely what the hacked e-mails call into question. Some of these scientists are merely activists, deeply invested in a predetermined outcome. They assume that political change is the goal; the scientific enterprise is the means -- like a political ad or a campaign speech. But without trust in disinterested, scientific judgments on climate, most non-scientists will resist costly, speculative, legislative actions. When the experts become advocates, no one believes the experts or listens to the advocates.
It is an irony of the first order. Having accused others of a "war on science," it is climate scientists who are assaulting the authority of science more effectively than anyone else.
(c) 2009, Washington Post Writers Group
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A Concerned Citizen
You Sir, are a willfully ignorant moron. You try to have it both ways. You acknowledge the tampering of the scientific method, and despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary, you insist that the 'warming' is still taking place, without any supporting evidence.
Here are two very simple questions, even you should be capable of answering;
If the global warming data was true and accurate, why would you need to 'fudge it'?
If the global warming data was true and accurate, why destroy the raw data so that no one can verify your findings?
Are you just trying to be controversial to sell your lame articles? Pick a subject you actually have some knowledge in.
Posted December 11, 2009 at 1:00:27 PM
MichaelV
You are using the cooked books of the very same discredited scientists you discuss when you make statements like this:
"The claim of recent global cooling is deceptive. It is true that 2008 was cooler than 1998. But 1998 was the hottest year recorded since the advent of reliable records in the 1800s, while 2008 was the ninth hottest. Despite yearly variations, the overall trend goes in one direction. All 10 of the hottest years on record have come since 1997."
These men worked very hard to come up with temperature numbers that supported their cause, going so far as to fudge the numbers in whatever direction necessary to support them. One of the massive fudgings had them work overtime trying to disappear the Medieval Warming Period, where it was warmer than it is now, and I guarantee you we weren't responsible.
Then there are all sorts of other irregularities, not the least of them being the arbitrary and numerous adjustments to the numbers, then conveniently deleting the raw data so that none of us could actually gauge the depths of their deception. They cherry picked data from cherry picked sources (the tree data), including and omitting it selectively as they saw fit for different time periods. They located temperature monitoring stations in the middle of expanding urban areas, then adjusted the temperatures UP rather than down to account for urban heat islands.
The data is suspect in so many different ways, I'm not sure how you feel confident in any of the numbers you're claiming.
The science needs to be redone by a completely separate set of scientists, starting over with a fresh set of raw data. Until then, I will not believe anything these men have produced.
Posted December 11, 2009 at 1:57:43 PM
Dean from Ohio
Here are some inconvenient observations that keep me from embracing the anthropogenic global warming thesis and associated calls for drastic action:
1. Some parts of the earth are cooling even when others are warming. Some of the warming measurements come from urban areas and so exhibit a warming bias.
2. Whatever caused the Medieval Warm Period could be causing any warming today.
3. C02 changes lag behind temperature changes, not the other way around.
4. Even cutting in half our greenhouse gas emissions would have a negligible effect on global temperature change. In other words, our contribution will be "lost in the noise." Why ruin the global economy for generations without a measurable return?
5. With the fall of communism, statists the world over fled into the environmental movement. People who wanted to control the world through communism now want to control the world through environmentalism.
So, in my view, a sturdier thesis is that the call for a drastic "cure" to anthropogenic global warming is driven by two innate and nearly immutable aspects of human nature:
1) a desire to exert power over others by telling them what to do and taking their money, and
2) the innate human urge to worship
The first is self explanatory. The second may be explained as follows: People who reject God deprive themselves of the proper outlet of devotion to the Creator of the universe. So, they instead worship (i.e., trust in, dedicate themselves to, declare the worth and primacy of, make personal sacrifices for, and order their entire lives around) the creation (i.e., the planet). They then compel others to do the same.
It seems that both kinds of devotees may be found in Copenhagen this week.
Which thesis--that the earth is warming which can and must be stopped, or that the warming is largely fraud and a means to ram through a statist, socialist agenda has more the ring of truth?
Posted December 11, 2009 at 5:45:19 PM
Jane Doe
"People who wanted to control the world through communism now want to control the world through environmentalism."
Amen! This is the truth, the whole truth, and nothing BUT the truth! This is the nation's entire POLITICAL 'Agenda!' To falsely base something as ridiculous and unproven as "Global Warming" and implement it in such a nation-altering way as to CONTROL us and bring us straight onto the path of COMMUNISM!!!! Yet most people just cannot see through this sham. "Global Warming" is a means to an end to bring this nation under the control of a GLOBAL GOVERNMENT OR NEW WORLD ORDER!
And NEVER MIND that allowing these so-called 'scientific claims' to be challenged/PROVEN will ever HAPPEN.... because this untruth is NECESSARY to use as an excuse to change life as we KNOW it! "Global Warming" is a disguise to cover up what Big Government really wants to accomplish....CONTROL! And "Cap & Trade" is just the 'political' means to pull it off!
"People who reject God deprive themselves of the proper outlet of devotion to the Creator of the universe. So, they instead worship..... the creation (i.e., the planet. They then compel others to do the same."
I couldnt have said this better myself! I was listening to Talk Radio and heard something very similar. It makes perfect sense. Maybe if these people started looking outside themselves and material things for the REAL truth, rather than putting their faith only in all things 'tangible!' Next thing you know, POPULATION CONTROL will likely soon be on the table!
Posted December 12, 2009 at 4:39:47 PM