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The Defense Secretary Who Let Bin Laden Get Away
· Saturday, March 12, 2011
I like Donald Rumsfeld. I've always thought he was a hard-working, intelligent man. I respected his life in public service at the highest and most demanding levels. So it was with some surprise that I found myself flinging his book against a wall in hopes I would break its stupid little spine.
"Known and Unknown," his memoir of his tumultuous time in government, is so bad it's news even a month after its debut. It takes a long time to read because there are a lot of words, most of them boring. At first I thought this an unfortunate flaw, but I came to see it as strategy. He's going to overwhelm you with wordage, with dates and supposed data, he's going to bore you into submission, and at the end you're going to throw up your hands and shout, "I know Iraq and Afghanistan were not Don Rumsfeld's fault! I know this because I've now read his memos, which explain at great length why nothing is his fault."
Fault of course isn't the point. You'd expect such a book (all right -- you'd hope) to be reflective, to be self-questioning and questioning of others, and to grapple with the ruin of U.S. foreign policy circa 2001-08. He was secretary of defense until 2006, in the innermost councils. He heard all the conversations. He was in on the decisions. You'd expect him to explain the overall, overarching strategic thinking that guided them. Since some of those decisions are in the process of turning out badly, and since he obviously loves his country, you'd expect him to critique and correct certain mindsets and assumptions so that later generations will learn. When he doesn't do this, when he merely asserts, defends and quotes his memos, you feel overwhelmed, again, by the terrible thought that there was no overall, overarching strategic thinking. There were only second-rate minds busily, consequentially at work
Second-rateness marks the book, which is an extended effort at blame deflection. Mr. Rumsfeld didn't ignore the generals, he listened to them too much. Not enough troops in Iraq? That would be Gen. Tommy Franks. Turkey's refusal to allow U.S. troop movements? Secretary of State Colin Powell. America's failure to find weapons of mass destruction? "Obviously the focus on WMD to the exclusion of almost all else was a public relations error." Yes, I'd say so. He warned early on in a memo he quotes that the administration was putting too much emphasis on WMD. But put it in context: "Recent history is abundant with examples of flawed intelligence that have affected key national security decisions and contingency planning."
A word on the use of memos in memoirs. Everyone in government now knows his memos can serve, years later, to illustrate his farsightedness and defend against charges of blindness, indifference, stupidity. So people in government send a lot of memos! "Memo to self: I'm deeply worried about Mideast crisis. Let's solve West Bank problem immediately." "Memo to Steve: I'm concerned about China. I'd like you to make sure it becomes democratic. Please move on this soonest, before lunch if you can." A man in the Bush administration once told me of a guy who used to change the name on memos when they turned out to be smart. He'd make himself the sender so that when future scholars pored over the presidential library, they'd discover what a genius he was.
Most memos prove nothing. It is disturbing that so many Bush-era memoirs rely so heavily on them.
But the terrible thing about the Rumsfeld book, and there is no polite way to say this, is the half-baked nature of the thinking within it. The quality of analysis and understanding of history is so mediocre, so insufficient to the moment.
Which gets me to the point at which I tried to break the book's spine.
If you asked most Americans why we went into Afghanistan in the weeks after 9/11, they would answer, with perfect common sense, that it was to get the bad guys -- to find or kill Osama bin Laden and his al Qaeda followers, to topple the Taliban government that had given them aid and support, to destroy terrorist networks and operations. New York at the time of the invasion, October 2001, was still, literally, smoking; the whole town still carried the acrid smell of Ground Zero. The scenes of that day were still vivid and sharp. New York still isn't over it and will never be over it, but what happened on 9/11 was fresh, and we wanted who did it to get caught.
America wanted -- needed -- to see U.S. troops pull Osama out of his cave by his beard and drag him in his urine-soaked robes into an American courtroom. Or, less good but still good, to find him, kill him, put his head in a Tiffany box with a bow, and hand-carry it to the president of the United States.
It wasn't lust for vengeance, it was lust for justice, and for more than justice. Getting Osama would have shown the world what happens when you do a thing like 9/11 to a nation like America. It would have shown al Qaeda and their would-be camp followers what kind of unstoppable ferocity they were up against. It would have reminded the world that we are one great people with one terrible swift sword.
The failure to find bin Laden was a seminal moment in the history of the war in Afghanistan. And it was a catastrophe. From that moment -- the moment he escaped his apparent hideout in Tora Bora and went on to make his sneering speeches and send them out to the world -- from that moment everything about the Afghanistan war became unclear, unfocused, murky and confused. The administration in Washington, emboldened by what it called its victory over the Taliban, decided to move on Iraq. Its focus shifted, it took its eye off the ball, and Afghanistan is now what it is.
You'd think, nearly a decade after the events of Tora Bora, that Mr. Rumsfeld would understand the extent of the error and the breadth of its implications. He does not. Needless to say, Tora Bora was the fault of someone else -- Gen. Franks of course, and CIA Director George Tenet. "Franks had to determine whether attempting to apprehend one man on the run" was "worth the risks." Needless to say "there were numerous operational details." And of course, in a typical Rumsfeldian touch, he says he later learned CIA operatives on the ground had asked for help, but "I never received such a request from either Franks or Tenet and cannot imagine denying it if I had." I can.
Osama bin Laden was not "one man on the run." He is the man who did 9/11. He had just killed almost 3,000 people at the World Trade Center, at the Pentagon, in a field in Pennsylvania. He's the reason people held hands and jumped off the buildings. He's the reason the towers groaned to the ground.
It is the great scandal of the wars of the Bush era that the U.S. government failed to get him and bring him to justice. It is the shame of this book that Don Rumsfeld lacks the brains to see it, or the guts to admit it.
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Jeremy
This is an idiotic piece of writing. If we'd gotten Bin Laden, it would indeed have been satisfying, but it would have done virtually nothing to change post-9/11 history. Without Bin Laden, we would still have had fanatical terrorists trying to attack us, we'd still have gone to war in Iraq, the war in Afghanistan would have followed the same trajectory, and so on. Whether Rumsfeld and/or Bush did the right thing is certainly open to debate, but to obsess on one out of many issues---and one of the least significant, at that---is really dreadfully lame "analysis."
Posted March 12, 2011 at 12:51:32 AM
TruthInAction
Chuckle, how do you really feel about him Ms. Noonan?
Posted March 12, 2011 at 8:01:26 AM
Jeff
Bravo, Ms. Noonan!
Posted March 12, 2011 at 11:10:12 AM
Jimmy D
Guys, I have no end of issues with the RINO, Ms Noonan, but the points she makes in this case, as they often are, are worth consideration.
I once was a Bush Rah-Rah, and still look back with no small measure of longing, given the current occupant of the White House. But we can not do what Ms Noonan accuses Mr Rumsfield of doing. Some degree of Tactical CYA may be excusable in terms of staying and playing an important role but Historical Strategeries must be formed through an unbiased and impartial look at what's gone on.
Getting rid of Donald Rumsfield was one of George Bush's better moves. But looking back, my support for both wars aside, I have to question whether the "W" was for wisdom or not...whether my support was altogether smart or just more like some stubborn reaction to the generally hideous, anti-American quality of his detractors...
What if we'd just beat the stew out of them and come on home, and let them rebuild their own countries while we paid attention to strengthening ours.
Sorry George. Sorry Don. Thank you for your service and your seeming Patriotism. But if we go down, and we ARE teetering at the brink, history will not be kind, in regards to where you left us, how you took us from united to divided, how you let the demons of ruin make a playground of our economy, and how poorly you prosecuted the war for Americas future.
Posted March 12, 2011 at 11:34:19 AM
GMButler
Ms. Noonan,
I would haved liked to have read your entire article, but you BORED ME WITH TOO MANY WORDS! How about showing us in the U.S. Constitution where any foreign war is authorized. How about citing Federalist Papers pointing to the advisability of foreign entanglement. How about showing us why it matters not whether the President is a Republican or Democrat as it is controlled by the New World Order elitists who win regardless of who "wins" the "war".
Posted March 12, 2011 at 12:27:06 PM
Garth Ragnar
I'm beginning to put Noonan in the same camp with that Muslim, Christiane Amanpour, who distorts news and photos to effect U.S. policy. BTW Peggy, how do you feel about Mansoor Ijaz offering to deliver bin Laden to Sandy Berger during the Clinton era? Peggy; you can fool me some of the time, but I'd bet a C-Note that you voted for that Keystone Cop in the Oval Office.
Posted March 12, 2011 at 5:08:49 PM
Jeremy
Whether you are a fan of W and Rumy or not, think for a minute about the "analysis" in this article. Ms. Noonan has two major gripes: 1) Rumsfeld uses his memos to back up his point of view, and 2) Rumsfeld didn't "get" Bin Laden.
As for 1), it's Rumsfeld's book, so obviously it's going to present his side of the story and put it in a positive light. Heck, even Jimmy Carter managed to make himself look semi-intelligent in his memoir. Other major players are free to give their side of the story, and someday historians (if any remain who are not radical nincompoops, that is) will sort it all out. Compared to most such books, Rumsfeld has at least attempted to put forth a fairly detailed account and backed it up with actual documents---rare for this type of writing. As for 2), I reiterate my comments above: Whether we had gotten Bin Laden or not, the Bush administration would have chosen to follow the same strategic path, the terrorists would have continued with their barbaric war, etc. At this late date, it's silly to pretend that everything would somehow have turned out differently if only we'd gotten Bin Laden.
Posted March 12, 2011 at 7:45:50 PM
Howard Last
GMButler - I could have said it any better. I am waiting for a Republican Leader (still an oxymoron) to say quit the UN, the ultimate foreign entanglement. When will CFR members be tried for treason. Isn't owing allegiance to a foreign entity that wants to overthrow the U.S. treason? Oops I forgot the the Republican elite are CFR members.
Posted March 12, 2011 at 7:48:08 PM
Howard Last
jeremy - you can't use Jimmy Carter and intelligent or even semi-intelligent in the same sentence.
Posted March 12, 2011 at 11:23:57 PM
M Rick Timms, MD
I suggest that folks look at the website that Mr Rumsfeld has provided, and use it to access and review mush of the contemporaneous material that was generated during his most recent tenure as SECDEF.
I have found him to have been serious, thoughtful, and open to ideas from many sources. During his time as SECDEF I considered him to be open to questions from the press, intolerant of the ridiculous, and at least as effective as any other person in that job in my lifetime.
Need an example?--look up the October 15, 2002 memo regarding "Potential Problems to be Considered and Adressed".
My only question would be "Why did He and GW allow the UN to define "WMD" so narrowly (excluding ALL dual use materials - such as deadly Organo-phosphate poison/insecticide) that none of the thousands of materials found and detailed in the Kay and Duelfer Reports would meet the definition."
Item #13 "US could fail to find WMD on the ground in Iraq and be unpersuasive to the world."
The failure to point out the restrictive, narrow definition of WMD led us to the "Bush Lied" chorus, and did limit or persuasiveness in dealing with other real threats such a the N. Korean Nuclear build-up.
At one time should could write a good speech, but all said, I would rather have Rumsfeld than Noonan advising the POTUS.
Posted March 14, 2011 at 12:15:58 AM
Odin
"At this late date, it's silly to pretend that everything would somehow have turned out differently if only we'd gotten Bin Laden."
Also silly to miss Noonan's point that what she calls - "the ruin of U.S. foreign policy circa 2001-08" is largely attributable to the administration taking its focus off Bin Laden and Afghanistan to invade Iraq. It's silly to pretend things wouldn't have been different if that monumental error hadn't occurred during Rumsfeld's watch. It'd be nice to see him acknowledge the error in print, as McNamara belatedly did after America's idiotic Vietnam invasion.
The administration in Washington, emboldened by what it called its victory over the Taliban, decided to move on Iraq. Its focus shifted, it took its eye off the ball, and Afghanistan is now what it is.
Posted March 14, 2011 at 12:45:52 AM
Brian Richard Allen
Mz Noonan has spent WAY too much time confusing with "success" her sycophant's certain skill at adroitly alternatively brown-nosing and Lewinskying the east-coast's self-styled elitists for invites to be ever again told apart from the likes of Cynthia Tucker.
Both make at least the east coast's b or c lists, although those come in at only around R S or T on the Real Measure of Americans.
Posted March 14, 2011 at 11:40:55 AM
wmccrindle
The failure to get Bin Laden rest squarely on the Clinton administration, the liar then couldn't be roused from a poker game to ok the capture. It is all in Patterson's Book "Dereliction of Duty".
Posted March 14, 2011 at 11:48:22 AM
Richard Ryan
Ms Noonan, there you go again.In my mind W will go down as the greatest president of the 21st century if only because he kept that fat snake oil salesman Gore from ever being president.If Gore had been president on 9/11 this country would still be on it`s knees begging forgiveness from Muslims for what-ever we had done to upset them.Why don`t you give us all a break and just switch over to the Democrap ticket?I for one have a great admiration for Don Rumsfeld.He`s a true American patriot.
Richard Ryan
Lamar,Missouri (Birthplace of Harry S Truman)
Posted March 14, 2011 at 5:12:16 PM
Butch
Thank you wmccrindle for making this very important point. Clinton was offered Bin Laden's head on a platter three times and did nothing.
Posted March 14, 2011 at 5:37:13 PM
Grangerman
Richard Ryan, You apparently are a conservative sort of guy. If so, please do not brag about being from Harry Truman's hometown, unless you mean to villify him. Please read up on him (oh, his dealings described in Ann Coulter's "Treason" with unions, Whittaker Chambers, Joe McCarthy, and General MacArthur should give you a real good idea of how this guy thought and operated) and then I think you'll take that off your signature line. I am hoping anyway...
Posted March 14, 2011 at 11:21:45 PM
Jack
Ms. Noonan, I am inclined to be in agreement with almost all of your observations, save one:
You say - "America wanted -- needed -- to see U.S. troops pull Osama out of his cave by his beard and drag him in his urine-soaked robes into an American courtroom. Or, less good but still good, to find him, kill him, put his head in a Tiffany box with a bow, and hand-carry it to the president of the United States."
And then you add - "It wasn't lust for vengeance, it was lust for justice, and for more than justice."
Excuse me, but all that stuff about urine-soaked robes and his head in a Tiffany box .. sounds like lust for vengeance to me. No call for justice was ever so richly and vividly evocative of the gory details of how that justice should've been dispensed. Oh, of course that's what should've happened - the man ought to have been summarily terminated, but let's not get sanctimonious about why!
Posted March 14, 2011 at 11:24:48 PM
George Rogers Clark
I must contend with "Jeremy". Had we captured or killed bin Laden it would have made ALL the difference in the whole story. It would have had a completely different effect on the perception of the American people and public opinion around the world. That would have been huge. Different decisions, different actions could have been the result. And I agree fully with Peggy on her points regarding the affect on terrorists and terrorism.
Our nation's greatest moments have always been when we have won even small victories in the name of a just cause. These have energized us as ONE PEOPLE, ONE NATION, UNDER GOD and helped us to overcome enemies bent on destroying all liberty in the world.
Posted March 15, 2011 at 9:14:36 AM
bob crowley
I agree ms noonan, but wasn't george bush book
just as bad, he was oblivious throughout his entire
administration. What he learned early on, wasthat he had nothing to fear from the press, whatever he was asked, he'd ignore the point and make a statement.
He knew learned quickly, no one would or could hold him to account, what a downward spiral we are on
bob
Posted March 16, 2011 at 11:12:54 AM
Bob Garvey
I have not for a few years now been a fan of Peggy Noonan. But she is dead on accurate about this. Not getting Osama has been a tragedy. A screw-up of cosmic proportions by Tommy Franks who should have had our BEST of the Best on the ground blocking the Pakistan Border. Nothing else mattered or still matters. Certainly not being in Afghanistan. Not if we care at all about our honor.
Posted March 18, 2011 at 6:09:23 PM
Falcon76
History exists to be our teacher. The "blame" for who let Bin Laden escape or who let him survive to perpetrate 9/11 was not the more important point Ms. Noonan made. While blame may be, and apparently is of great interest to folks who want to get in one more shot at Bill Clinton or George W. Bush, allocation of fault is not a discussion that informs the country or it's people going forward. It does not inform us for what we face today. Or what we face tomorrow.
What if you read an argument that "catching or killing Bin Laden was not a significant US objective" ? What if that argument further contended that bringing him to justice or bringing justice to him "wouldn't eliminate Islamist extremists anyway, so why risk the inevitable blood or money in his pursuit?"
Now imagine that argument being advanced by a 2008
candidate, Barack Obama. What would the GOP have said of him then ? Cowardly and treasonous would be the least of the name calling. Now imagine it wasn't Barack Obama making that argument; it was Donald Rumsfeld in the Oval Office. And Paul Wolfowitz or Dick Cheney. Same argument. What would the junior Democratic Senator from NY have said.
What the nation requires, what the responsibility of government demands is that we get it right today. That we wake up safe tomorrow. That our enemies don't go unattended and our People go unprotected. To that end, the only echo from history worth listening to is that which helps us be effective. The
enduring common interest, since our founders and forever more is that we must be effective to survive. What is the most effective reaction or proaction ? in our foreign policy decisions, and our
national defense, what works? What is less likely to work ?The issue the Rumsfeld era and the decisions made then are still with us . Hundreds of thousands of Americans, in the battlefields or across the globe await the next decision. If you could take out bin Laden today , would you pass on it because Tunisia or Yemen are already where they are ? Do you stay in the FATA tomorrow because it has no effect on Quaddafi anyway ? Is that a reason to stay ? What makes us safer ? What is the road ahead? How do we bend the curve in a direction in favor with US interests or US security?
To that issue, as Peggy Noonan points out, the secretary of defense's memoir spent little time. What did the US seek to accomplish for the next generation, with the decisions that were made after 2001? In 2011 should we continue in that path? Should we change path ? Is the vision we had as policy makers still on course 10 years later ? Do we ramp up or slow down. "It wasn't my fault", whether the historical addition of Bill Clinton George W. Bush or Secretary Rumsfeld, is not the book we need to buy or read. General Washington would have found neither the time nor the interest in publishing a book in 1783 about how unpredictably cold Valley Forge turned out for him; when the nation still needed tending. The Rumsfeld memoir, President Bush's Decision Points, Al gore's or President Clinton's books fall under the same lens of a worthy but worried people. We're still here. So is the enemy. So are you. What we once electively called our leaders. These memoirs have their place in history but bin laden and al Audra aren't history yet.
In 2011, the Rumsfeld book came out when more Americans know the name of Mubarek, Quaddafi, and Saleh than ever before. He has a seat at the nations table. All of them do. All were patriots for their service and all still are. This book didn't disappoint Peggy Noonan as much for what it said, as for what it didn't say or even attempt to say. What will be more effective to safeguard the American people? Focus on bin laden as a national priority? Or, declare he is not worth the effort in life
and treasure likely to be expended in getting him. Debating fault while the nation is edging toward the brink of a third world war does nothing to inform the next decision unless we review the past through the singular test that matters : are we being effective against our enemies today ?
Posted March 22, 2011 at 8:56:14 PM
Brenda Matteson
I winced when I read Peggy's opening: "I like Donald Rumsfeld." His name brings back so many furious moments I spent watching the Bush Administration sneeringly disrespect and condescend to the rest of us as if we were too stupid to realize what they were engineering as it unfolded. The unabashed arrogance of Bush, Cheney, and Rumsfeld (among others) in those days, to me, was a crime against the people of our country.
But I have recently adopted Bill Clinton's advice to listen to all sides of a story, not just to those who agree with you, so I read on. My reward was Peggy's specific analysis of a book even she hoped would tell the real story. We all absolutely understand the calls that need to be made in the heat of any moment--they can't all be correct; but at least have the grace, maturity, and humility in hindsight to own up to how you just might've lost your heads at the time and betrayed millions of people who trusted your leadership, not only here in America but among our allies as well.
I will never be able to forgive any of these greedy, self-important boys-clubbers who continue to ruin our country--from top to bottom line--until they stop asserting themselves as infallible gods and admit their faults.
Thanks for some much-needed "truthiness" on this subject, Peggy!
Posted March 25, 2011 at 3:51:05 PM