(Editors Note: A year after Alexander posted this analysis in October of 2023, Joe Biden declared in an interview: “[Gavin Newsom] can be anything he wants. He can have the job I’m looking for.”)

So, Joe Biden dropped by “The Right Reverend” Al Sharpton’s National Action Network confab recently, and according to the high priest of black supremacy, Biden confided, “I’m going to do it again.”

And he will mount a campaign, but will he be the Demo candidate?

It was not clear if Biden meant he was going to eat more ice cream while sniffing women’s hair and violating the personal space of little girls, or extend his 50-year record as a serial liar. But according to Sharpton, the Don of Demo hate and division, Biden was officially announcing he is going to run in 2024!

When asked for confirmation, Biden’s spokes-parrot Karine Jean-Pierre confirmed: “The president has said this himself: He intends to run in 2024. I will just reiterate what the president has said many times … is that the president intends to.”

Apparently, his Leftmedia publicists are trying to get some clarification after his non compos mentis ramblings in a CBS “60 Minutes” interview last month when, responding to a question about 2024, Biden said: “It’s much too early to make that kind of decision. … My intention, as I said to begin with, is that I would run again. But it’s just an intention. But is it a firm decision that I run again? That remains to be seen.”

Despite the fact Biden demonstrates daily that he is on a steep dementia slope, as long as he keeps sporting those cool Ray-Ban Aviator sunglasses, and dodging the 25th Amendment, nobody will notice that in 2024 he will be 82.

Biden, who we now know is the first Puerto Rican president after disclosing, “I was sort of raised in the Puerto Rican community at home, politically,” is desperately trying to firm up both his black and brown constituent support. Not sure what the problem is; I mean House Speaker Nancy Pelosi declared: “He has been a great president. He has accomplished — we’ve been working together to accomplish so much, and that is beginning to have some appreciation in the public in terms of his leadership.”

Insiders tell me that Sharpton cut a deal with Biden to deliver 95% of black voters in 2024 if Biden will replace Jean-Pierre after the midterm election with Sharpton’s equally qualified disciple, Tawana Brawley, in order to help Brawley repay court-ordered fines stemming from the racist rape hoax Sharpton perpetuated 35 years ago. Additionally, we hear that Sharpton also convinced Biden to appoint Juicy Smooyay as his new chief adviser on race relations. OK, none of that is true…

So, the question of the day: Is Biden running in 2024?

For the record, two months after Biden took office, I figured he was on his way out. Three dozen House Democrats issued a formal letter questioning his mental acuity, and his bumbling fumbling actions prompted political analyst Charles Hurt to ask, “Can anyone just tell us who the hell is running our federal government right now? … Who is the president of the United States right now?”

At that time I speculated that Kamala Harris was going to soon replace Biden, given that Nancy Pelosi had already seeded the 25th Amendment legislation for Biden’s path to resign.

Of course, that was before Harris’s popularity tanked even lower than Biden’s approval ratings, something Democrats badly misjudged. Clearly Harris was no longer an option, nor is it now if Biden steps aside. Demos will have to get her out of the way as they did Bernie Sanders in the last two Demo primaries.

Fast forward to the present…

It is my considered opinion as I have asserted previously, that Biden is NOT going to be the nominee in 2024, though he will announce that he is running and pretend to be doing just that. At some point, he will either intentionally default to a primary contender or withdraw altogether to clear a path for his successor.

Biden could lose a primary challenge if contested, and DNC strategists know that. He may just intentionally decline to mount a real campaign once contested in the primary, thus paving a path for his successor. Notably that would also keep Kamala Harris out of the running and resolve the issue of how to dispense with her. However, I think if he removes himself, she will too.

If he does not take himself out of the running before the primary, then he will do so at the conclusion of the primary and leave the selection of his successor up to his Democrat Party delegates.

Biden has to avoid being a lame duck president now in order to retain whatever constituency he has left so he can pitch them to hair-gel boy Gavin Newsom or some other successor like Michelle Obama or Robert Kennedy, Jr., as part of the Demos’ “collective voter constituency” strategy. Actually Demo moderate, West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin, also fits the profile.

As you recall, that strategy involves fielding a lot of candidates to raise a lot of money, and then folding each candidate’s constituents into an amalgam of general-election voters for the nominee. Most important of all those constituent groups is women, who Demo strategists dependably assume are emotionally incontinent idiots, and will, like blind lemmings, vote for the Demo nominee.

However, so polarized has Newsom’s political rhetoric become, that he will inspire millions of Republican “Fear Newsom” voters in 2024, much as Donald Trump inspired millions of Democrat “Fear Trump” voters in 2020. The same is true of Kennedy and Obama, but Manchin bridges some gaps with moderates.

(Update: In March of 2023, Gavin Newsom launched a “Red State Tour,” which was nothing short of a presidential campaign sweep.)

Of course, another reason Biden pretends to be running is to ensure Trump will lead the 2024 Republican primary pack. Despite all the pundit chatter to the contrary, central to the Democrats 2024 strategy is helping Trump to eclipse other Republicans who pose a greater threat to Newsom, Kennedy, et al., especially Gov. Ron DeSantis who has proven he is a much more formidable general election candidate. Demos know Trump will do massive fratricidal damage to the Republican Party in the primary and pave the way for another Democrat president. In fact, if that was Biden, I think he could defeat Trump again given the amount of hate and division Trump invokes, and the way national elections are now rigged. Trump’s political balance sheet is in the red.

Notably, given that Biden’s age is a major source of concern for Democrats, in 2024, Trump will be older than Ronald Reagan was when he left office.

All being said, there are three wild cards – two that put Kamala Harris in Biden’s seat before 2024 and a third that keeps Biden on the ballot.

First, the obvious, if Biden becomes more incapacitated and does not return from one of his recurring vacations, she steps in.

And second, if Hunter Biden is not able cop a back room plea deal to short-circuit all potential indictments related to his corrupt ChiCom dealings on his family name – some of which may not be pardonable with just heavy fines, a federal prosecutor may sweep up the “Big Guy” in their dragnet for his corruption connections to Hunter.

As for the third wild card that keeps Biden on the ballot?

Biden’s most sycophantic handlers, his puppeteers, have consolidated a lot of power, and if they believe they can prop him up for another term, like the old Soviet Union leaders were propped up by their party power brokers long after their expiration dates, they will resist allowing him to drop out.

Finally, regarding presumptions about the midterm outcomes, Biden’s former spokes-parrot Jen Psaki says: “If it is a referendum on the president, [Democrats] will lose. And they know that.” But as I have argued, most of the “Bad News Biden” liability has already been discounted in electoral sentiments. As political analyst Byron York notes: “If history is any guide, Democrats do not have a chance — not even a small a chance — of keeping control of the House in the midterm elections. But the question is: Is history any guide?”

Given the bizarre politics of the last six years, and the success of the Demos’ massive bulk-mail ballot fraud strategy in 2020, most elements of which are still intact, I doubt the historic midterm crystal ball presumptions will hold.

(Update: Indeed, the midterm “Red Wave” turned into a “Red Ripple,” with Republicans barely wining the House and losing the Senate split majority – despite Biden’s low approval ratings.)

All being said, I believe if Biden actually is the 2024 incumbent and Trump is the Republican nominee, Biden will likely defeat Trump again and maybe by a wider margin, because of the fratricidal damage Trump will inevitably do to the Republican Party in the primary. Despite some polls that show Trump with a marginal lead over Biden, if the 2024 election is a Biden/Trump rematch, it will not be determined by which candidate voters like most, but which they dislike the least.

But as noted, I believe the Demo strategy is for Biden to voluntarily pave a path for a younger and more charismatic successor.

(Update: Biden finally officially announced his 2024 candidacy in late April of 2023. Thought he has contenders, the Democrat National Committee is refusing to allow any presidential debates during the primary – which I believe is designed to unify support behind the candidate they choose to replace Biden. Political analyst Brit Hume observed: “I don’t think I’ve ever seen anything like this, were you have a distinct majority of an incumbent president’s own party saying they don’t want him to run. … The situation in the other party is nearly as grim, a former president who the majority of the country does not want to see run again.”)

Semper Vigilans Fortis Paratus et Fidelis
Pro Deo et Libertate — 1776

(Updated)