The Patriot Post® · When Mamdani Wins, the GOP Wins

The Democratic Socialists had another very good night last night, and I couldn’t be more thrilled. Because it’s my strong sense that a slew of good nights for these radical leftists during primary season will yield a very bad night for the Democrat Party on Tuesday, November 3. Bear with me.

The big winner in yesterday’s primaries was undoubtedly the Democratic Socialist mayor of once-great New York City. Zohran Mamdani — whom my dyslexic friend keeps calling Moron Zamdani — endorsed three hard-left candidates, and each of them won their races. But not only that. In so doing, they ousted two sitting U.S. congressmen.

This, friends, is Peter Boyle having his way with Gene Wilder. And unfortunately for the Democrats, the sedative for this socialist Frankenstein isn’t available until the general election.

As the Appropriated Press reports, “U.S. Rep. Adriano Espaillat, who leads the Congressional Hispanic Caucus and is in his fifth term, was defeated by Mamdani’s most polarizing pick, Darializa Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist who once helped organize pro-Palestinian protests at Columbia University. U.S. Rep. Dan Goldman, a two-term incumbent, was beaten by the Mamdani-backed former city Comptroller Brad Lander. … And another Mamdani ally, democratic socialist state Assembly Member Claire Valdez, defeated the handpicked successor of retiring U.S. Rep. Nydia Velazquez.”

Here, I should note that the Democratic Socialist Lander absolutely annihilated the incumbent and former Trump impeachment manager Goldman, despite his having been endorsed by both Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries. Goldman’s crushing loss thus adds insult to the injury of an absolutely vile social media post directed at him on Monday by a trendy Jew-hating cafe in Brooklyn.

But again, all this is great news for the Republican Party. Why? Because the radicalism and the idiotic policy prescriptions of the Democratic Socialists have always given them a relatively low electoral ceiling in a general election. Thus, if the Republican Party is smart — which I certainly won’t take for granted — it’ll nationalize these results and this awful trend within the Democrat Party.

I hear what you’re saying: I’m skeptical, Andrews. I don’t think this is good news for the GOP.

Again, I really think socialism has a hard ceiling around or just north of 40% in this country — and certainly not a majority. I know they’re kicking butt in these deep-blue enclaves, but I don’t think that translates to the overwhelming majority of voters all across America, in towns and districts that aren’t 4:1 Democrat or even 9:1 Democrat, like New York City. And if the Republicans nationalize these local elections, if they ask everyday Americans whether they really want to vote for the Party of Outhouse Onanists, the Party of Graham Platner, it’s going to be a pretty powerful message. If the GOP message is that the socialists have taken over the once-proud Democrat Party, that this ain’t their granddad’s Democrat Party anymore, that Trump Derangement Syndrome has caused the Democrat Party to go nuts, I think it’ll resonate.

Also, the objects in these primary mirrors are farther away than they appear. That’s because primaries tend to be low-turnout affairs. Which makes sense because they’re not as consequential as the general election. They’re the preliminary event, which is why the most engaged voters and the most rabid partisans tend to be over-represented during primary season.

Think about it: In 2016, and then again in 2020, Socialist Bernie Sanders was all the rage in the Democrat presidential primaries. The Clinton machine ultimately prevailed in 2016, but the Democrat Party apparatus had to rig the 2020 vote to keep Sanders from winning and then getting his clock cleaned by Trump in the general. The DNC and its mainstream media fellow travelers had to shiv Sanders while at the same time propping up Joe Biden in order to ensure that Biden — the establishment guy whose general-election vote ceiling wasn’t stuck in the low-40s — could get the nomination.

I think a great proxy for this theory of mine is Michigan’s Senate contest, which might end up pitting the Republican establishment candidate, Mike Rogers, against the hard-left, Jew-hating, Dearbornistan-based Abdul El-Sayed. El-Sayed still has to win the Democrat primary against the two establishment candidates, Mallory McMorrow and Haley Stevens, but I think he might because those two women will likely split the sensible Democrat vote — to the extent that it still exists — while El-Sayed cleans up among the highly energized leftists. Two years ago, Rogers lost narrowly to a moderate Democrat, Elissa Slotkin. But I think Rogers will mop the floor with El-Sayed if he gets through the Democrat primary.

In short, the Republicans are being blessed by their Democratic Socialist enemies. National Review’s Jim Geraghty is picking up what I’m laying down. He calls it “subtraction by addition.”

Again, I can hear you saying, Yeah, yeah, Andrews, but Senate contests are statewide, and House races don’t abide by the same rules.

That’s certainly true. But here’s my last point: With all the hullabaloo about whether the GOP can pull an inside straight and hang onto the House, it’s really going to come down to around 17 or so very competitive, coin-flip districts. And it’s precisely in those evenly balanced districts that I don’t think a majority of folks will buy the Democratic Socialist snake oil.

And if they do, well, then I’ll eat my “Trump 2028” sign. And the rest of us will get the government they deserve.

That’s my story, folks, and I’m stickin’ to it. We’ll talk again on Wednesday, November 4.