Monday Brief
Fiscal Cliff Ahead
The Foundation
"Have you something to do to-morrow; do it to-day." --Benjamin Franklin
Government

"The Congressional Budget Office has forecasted a fresh recession to hit next year if Taxmageddon, a nearly $500 billion tax increase, hits the nation and Congress and the President drive us off the 'fiscal cliff.' ... In a new report, Heritage's J.D. Foster explains that the very fact that we can see a recession coming is shocking. 'Economic forecasters almost never forecast recessions,' he says. ... The problem is extremely clear. Congress has left town and isn't scheduled to return until after the November election. With every day that passes, the economy drags, as the uncertainty of January 1 looms. ... Business owners are looking at next year's taxes already and thinking they can't afford to hire. Investors are holding back from expansions and new ventures. This massive uncertainty is holding back all growth and keeping unemployment stubbornly above 8 percent, while millions have dropped out of the labor force because they are so discouraged. ... Think about this: If you're a middle-class American family, Taxmageddon means that your taxes are going up about $4,100 next year. ... It starts to hit home that you have to come up with that $4,100 somehow. You're going to have to make cuts in your lifestyle to be able to pay this tax increase. ... As Foster said, 'President Obama should demand that Congress return to defuse Taxmageddon, and Congress should immediately heed his call. The job need only take a few days away from their campaigning.'" --Heritage Foundation's Amy Payne
For the Record
"Americans must be wondering how much more of this 'recovery' they can afford. New figures from the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey, compiled by Sentier Research, show that the typical American household's real (inflation-adjusted) income has actually dropped 5.7 percent during the Obama 'recovery.' Using constant 2012 dollars (to adjust for inflation), the median annual income of American households was $53,718 as of June 2009, the last month of the recession. Now, after 38 months of this 'recovery,' it has fallen to $50,678 -- a drop of $3,040 per household. Yet it gets worse. Amazingly, incomes have dropped even more during the 'recovery' than they did during the recession. In fact, they've dropped more than twice as much as they did during the recession. From the start to the end of the recession, the real median income of American households fell $1,413, or 2.6 percent. From the end of the recession to the present day, it has dropped $3,040, or 5.7 percent. This begs the question: What kind of 'recovery' compares unfavorably with the recession from which it's ostensibly recovering?" --The Weekly Standard's Jeffrey H. Anderson
Political Futures
"For six months, [Mitt Romney's] been matching Obama small ball for small ball. A hit-and-run critique here, a slogan-of-the-week there. His only momentum came when he chose Paul Ryan and seemed ready to engage on the big stuff: Medicare, entitlements, tax reform, national solvency, a restructured welfare state. Yet he has since retreated to the small and safe. When you're behind, however, safe is fatal. Even his counterpunching has gone miniature. Obama has successfully painted Romney as an out of touch, unfeeling plutocrat whose only interest is to cut taxes for the rich. Romney has complained in interviews that it's not true. He has proposed cutting tax rates, while pledging that the share of the tax burden paid by the rich remains unchanged (by 'broadening the base' as in the wildly successful, revenue-neutral Reagan-O'Neill tax reform of 1986). But how many people know this? Where is the speech that hammers home precisely that point, advocates a reformed tax code that accelerates growth without letting the rich off the hook, and gives lie to the Obama demagoguery about dismantling the social safety net in order to enrich the rich? ... Make the case. Go large. About a foreign policy in ruins. About an archaic, 20th-century welfare state model that guarantees 21st-century insolvency. And about an alternate vision of an unapologetically assertive America abroad unafraid of fundamental structural change at home. It might just work. And it's not too late." --columnist Charles Krauthammer
Opinion in Brief
"At home, unemployment is stuck above 8 percent. Twenty-three million are out of work. Millions of others have given up looking for jobs. One American in six is on food stamps. Small businesses are terrified of ObamaCare. The economy ran out of gas four years ago and the president still thinks the only way to get it going again is to fill up the tank with trillions of dollars of debt and make successful people pay for the tow truck. Overseas, we have a dead ambassador and three other dead Americans in Libya. Dozens of our embassies are being threatened by mobs. Iran is building a nuke. Syria is mired in a bloody civil war. Egypt's new democracy is turning against us. ... Meanwhile, what does President 'Eye Candy' do [last] week? He goes before the United Nations and can't bring himself to even mention the words 'Islamic extremists.' ... But in their perverse way of thinking, the Obama Gang wants the American people to believe Romney is a bad guy for creating wealth and being a successful businessman. Americans are supposed to be angry with Romney for paying 'only' 14 percent in taxes or reducing his federal tax bite by giving $4 million to charity in 2011. ... Mitt needs to show us how angry he is at what Obama has done to America. He needs to show us he's as 'mad as hell' and can't take it for another four years. Come on, Mitt -- get as mad as the rest of us." --columnist Michael Reagan

Insight
"To combat depression by a forced credit expansion is to attempt to cure the evil by the very means which brought it about; because we are suffering from a misdirection of production, we want to create further misdirection -- a procedure which can only lead to a much more severe crisis as soon as the credit expansion comes to an end." --economist Friedrich August von Hayek (1899-1992)
The Gipper
"The government can find some charge to bring against any concern it chooses to prosecute. Every businessman has his own tale of harassment. Somewhere a perversion has taken place. Our natural, unalienable rights are now considered to be a dispensation of government, and freedom has never been so fragile, so close to slipping from our grasp as it is at this moment." --Ronald Reagan
Re: The Left
"Liberals have never answered the question: what of those who do not choose to join in a 'common end' that government has chosen for them? What of those who refuse to 'belong to government'? These unfortunate souls must be dealt with, as Obama's departments and agencies are dealing with them: by silencing them, litigating against them, jailing them, and ruining their businesses and reputations. Those tactics, and more, were exactly what European leftists from Mussolini to Stalin resorted to. ... Obama's rationale for a second term is that he wants to govern, and that should be enough. Or as Jay Carney suggested, just shut up. ... George Washington called government 'a dangerous servant and a fearful master.' Thomas Paine called it 'a necessary evil.' For Obama, government is the thing we all belong to, the thing that 'made this country great.' Four more years of Obama will not make this country great, but it will ensure that we belong to government to an unimaginable extent. Obama's message is: 'You and everything you own belong to me.'" --columnist Jeffrey Folks
Essential Liberty
"The American founding was revolutionary in its embrace of the universality of human rights (even as it fell so short of its own ideals with the institution of slavery). Since then, the West has fought several civil wars to break away from various tribal ideologies, including not just monarchism and imperialism but Nazism (racial tribalism), Communism (economic tribalism) and fascism (national tribalism). In fits and starts, we've moved toward ever greater voluntarism, which is a fancy way of saying we've moved toward greater individual liberty. According to the American creed, no one, and no thing, is the boss of me unless I agree to it. To a certain extent, that's even true -- at least in theory -- about the government, which is a representative institution created solely by and for the people, who are sovereign. But the instinctive attraction of tribalism endures. ... Because the moral superiority of liberty is irrefutable, totalitarians often feel the need to wrap barbarism in the language of freedom. ... Similarly, the Muslim Brotherhood stooge running Egypt doesn't care about free speech or tolerance; he cares about his own theocratic will to power -- and making Americans grovel. There are more practical reasons not to hold our liberties hostage to the bloodlust of a foreign mob, but underneath them all is the instinctual tribal refusal to let marauders tear down what we've built." --columnist Jonah Goldberg
Culture
"It isn't the policies and attitude of the United States toward the Arab world that need changing. It's the attitude and policies of the Arab world that need to change. For a former leader of the Muslim Brotherhood, who still subscribes to the group's radical beliefs, to blame America for problems in the Arab world is like blaming the mirror for what it reflects. Which nation is in greater need of an attitude adjustment? ... Hatred for all things Jewish, Christian and Western can be found in children's textbooks in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan and throughout the Middle East -- hate that is then reinforced by mullahs and Arab media. ... How many times has Israel compromised ... as it sought peace with its Arab neighbors and the Palestinians? And how many times have the Palestinians not kept up their end of agreements, and, in fact, continue to incite their own people to 'jihad' for the purpose of eliminating Israel? Which attitudes are in most need of reform? ... I don't like the looser sexual mores either, but the difference is that in America we don't have 'virtue' police, as some Arab and Muslim states do, to force people to live and act in accordance with the dictates of self-appointed and often hypocritical religious and political elites. Respect cuts both ways." --columnist Cal Thomas
Reader Comments
"Mark Alexander's essay The FDR Model for Buying Presidential Elections is the most profound and complete summation I've read of the position of our country and how Obama orchestrated it, and how he is moving toward his goal! Thank you for putting it in print. If only every American could read and understand the truth. Wish this could be one of Romney's speeches!" --Carole in Colorado
"After reading The FDR Model for Buying Presidential Elections, I want to encourage my fellow Patriots. If and only if the majority of Americans get off their lazy behinds and go vote, we will be able to hold the elected accountable. As for Obama's polls, the reputable polls have this election about dead even. Obama being the incumbent has a 50/50 chance by default. We cannot change that, but we can ignore all the hyperbole and get everyone to vote right up to the last minute." --Ken in Hastings, Florida
"After recent events in the Middle East and Obama's pathetic speech at the UN, it is indeed sad to witness the 'leadership' of our president and his State Department. We are being played for fools. I guess the Cole incident, the first WTC bombing, Kobar towers -- not to mention 9/11 -- were just 'bumps in the road' too." --RCS in Calverton
"Everything to this president is a bump in the road. Iran, budget, deficits, unemployment and people in general with the obvious exception of re-election. Honestly, has the man given us a solid month of leadership since his election?" --Andy in Katy, Texas
"In response to Friday's Digest story about the Village Academic Curriculum, I think the real reason isn't what the schools are or are not doing so much as the complete disintegration of intact families. There is no program for that. It the natural effect of moral decay." --Eileen in Coatesville
The Last Word
"The average national unemployment rate in the previous administration was 5.2 percent. The average in Mr. Obama's presidency is 9 percent. The budget deficit totaled $1.18 trillion over the last four years of George W. Bush's presidency. Mr. Obama's four deficits have added $5 trillion to the national debt. When Mr. Obama was sworn into office on Inauguration Day 2009, regular gas was selling for about $1.90 a gallon. Today, under Mr. Obama's energy policies, it is approaching $4 a gallon. Mr. Obama says that 'we're making progress.' This is the 'new normal.' We're moving forward, not backward. Just what kind of Orwellian compass is he using? In his '60 Minutes' interview, Mr. Obama kept falling back on his excuse that he 'inherited' an economy that was in a deep recession. Ronald Reagan inherited a deeper one where the unemployment rose to 10.8 percent. Four years later, when he ran for re-election, the economy was expanding at 6.3 percent, the jobless rate was about 7 percent and he won re-election by 49 states to 1. Mr. Obama lamely insists things would be better but for the House Republicans. But Reagan faced a Democrat-controlled House and it gave him the across-the-board tax cuts that got our economy moving again. As Mr. Romney repeatedly says, 'This is the best Obama can do, but it's not the best America can do.'" --columnist Donald Lambro
Semper Vigilo, Fortis, Paratus et Fidelis!
Nate Jackson for The Patriot Post Editorial Team
65 Comments
Mars the Avenger in Fredericksburg, VA
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:09 AM
My question is, where are the Republicans who are trumpeting this failure? A simple Ronald Reagan-style TV slide could easily show this. Do Republicans REALLY want to win this election? I am hard pressed to see that they do. Granted, the dinosaur media is whole hog in bed with the Democrats, but there are ways to get this across. This has long been my fear of the Republican leadership. No commitment to play rough and win. Just hiding under the bed and hoping it will all go away. Yeah, in the absence of a sound alternative, I will vote Republican, but I am increasingly hating to hold my nose when I vote.
rod in USA
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:11 AM
*** "As Foster said, 'President Obama should demand that Congress return to defuse Taxmageddon, and Congress should immediately heed his call. The job need only take a few days away from their campaigning.'" --Heritage Foundation's Amy Payne" ***
Well, it's not that easy.
If the President DOES call them back he will insist on only restoring the Bush tax cuts for those on the lower end of the income scale (more class warfare, rhetoric for his campaign). He would do that even if they come back on their own.
If the President DOES NOT call them back, a lame duck congress is not going to address this issue, and neither is a lame duck president.
No, these tax cuts are going to expire no matter what because politicians are stuck on stupid: Miring common sense economic policy in political non-sense in order to play the blame game. Either way, BHO will set himself up as not at fault.
MNIce in Minnesota
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 3:23 PM
At this point, the best hope for avoiding a deeper recession as a result of Taxmageddon's scheduled tax increases is to elect Mitt Romney and a Republican majority in both Houses of Congress. After repealing Obamacare, their next order of business should be a retroactive cancellation of the tax hikes.
Barbara Ratliff in Palmyra
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:24 AM
I know that things look bleak and have for quite a long time. But, when you break things down as has been done in this article it really hits home hard. And, it feels like we are all just victims in this game that is being played out in Washington. How can Americans protect what they currently have? Do we all pull our investments and then watch the economy get even worse? It feels like a rock and hard place.
Chase in VA
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 3:02 PM
You have asked the " $64,000 Question!" There is no doubt our currency is losing real value over time. I wish I had an answer to your question.
L HYAK in VACA / CA
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:38 AM
After being insulted by Ryan on the FOX Wallace program about revelations of budget numbers, I once again remembered what politicians are, opportunist, serving the nation is way down the list. Keeping that nice cushy tax paid job and making two tiered law is way up at the top of things to do and I can tell you we Americans are getting mighty tired of this ballerina two step being done by this bunch of peckerheads on both sides of the aisle. The grousing for term limits and a national sales tax is grrowing ever louder, the reasons are ever more evident and the cost for diminishing representation is a irritant we are not going to put up with for much longer. The warning flags are up and the ill winds of political change are calling for a reorganization of how we elect our politicians and allow appointees to function, these cherished few we are to listen to had better cleanout their own ears.
Everett Connor in New Hampshire
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:39 AM
Why should Congress wait for Obama to call them to act on the "fiscal cliff?" If they were really our representatives they would be in Washington taking care of the critical issues for us! I am not an Obama supporter or apologist, but this is something he is not primarily responsible for.
M Rick Timms, MD in Georgia
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 7:29 PM
Look closely at "Congress". The House and Senate both belonged to Democrats when most of Obama's spending abuses were approved. The Republicans were not even allowed to bring amendments to the floor.
The Senate has not produced a budget in three years -- they do not want America to see what they have done. The Republican House has produced a repsonsible budget which Harry Reid refuses to even adress.
Congress is not the problem -- Democrats in Congress ( especially the Senate) are the problem!
John Q Citizen in Colorado
Monday, October 8, 2012 at 4:45 PM
The Senate is not responsible for producing a budget. The House creates the budget, the Senate then approves, modifies and sends back to the House or veto's. If they pass then it goes to the President. The President and his cabinet are responsible to produce a budget which is supposed to layout his spending plan. They have not and the Senate has not taken up the House budget in 3+ years.
David Thompson in Bellville, TX
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:47 AM
Ms. Payne's (or the Heritage Foundation's) arithmetic is suspect. Taxmageddon's $500 billion tax increase is spread out over 10 years; so assume $50 billion next year. She calculates: "If you're a middle-class American family, Taxmageddon means that your taxes are going up about $4,100 next year." It would only take 12 million middle class American families to pay the full $50 billion at $4,100 per middle class American family.
Brian in Newport News
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 2:03 PM
She probably didn't include the 47% that pay no Federal Income taxes.
RedLeg in M'Boro, TN
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 3:28 PM
Middle income is AGI of $36K a year. Pretty much everyone below this amount pay little to no taxes on income. Gross income would be about $48K based on family of 4. Where does the $4,100 come from for that income group. They are already paying enough. That would mean about a 10% increase in taxes, I make just a little over that. I could not afford another $4,100 in extra taxes. Tell everyone a better solution just on the present figures. I assume you know the federal budget is not a stable set of income and expendatures. What is middle inocme to you, based on the tax brackets? If it is higher than $60K (AGI) you are talking about upper income not middle income.
MNIce in Minnesota
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 3:49 PM
Where did you get this? The amount pulled out of the economy by the dividend tax hike by itself will greatly exceed $50 billion next year. Presently, Federal tax revenues are about $2.4 trillion per year. The tax rate increases work out to somewhat more than 20%, not 2% as you imply. This is about $500 billion. However, that is only the initial increase in tax revenue. The loss of money to the economy will cause a significant decline in the tax base, so the Federal government will likely be collecting less revenue by the end of the year than it does now.
Larry in Montana
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:51 AM
Oh no, they've got it all wrong, the economy is getting set to take off sort of like an early missile that's had a motor failure. You know the fall over and explode sort of take off that's usually considered a failure.
Anyone who believes that the economy is recovering or has recovered at all in the past four years has been drinking, smoking, or snorting some really good stuff. They also need to stop it and have a reality check.
Jeff in Michigan
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 11:54 AM
There are the taxes of Obamacare to think of as well, the Congressional Debt and the fact that Medicare and SS are trillions in the red. It is only a matter of time before this country experiences total financial collapse. I am losing confidence very quickly in making any positive changes through the elction process. It seems that the only real way to make change is for the people to rize up and say enough is enough.
Paul in Lucerne Valley
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:24 PM
When all is said and done this country will be under a planet of debit and a very big part of that will be the obama boy, he knows nothing about running a business, not even a lemon aid stand
James Hull in Spring Branch, TX
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 8:33 PM
Amen to saying "enough is enough"! See the twenty additional NEW Obamacare taxes @: http://www.newsmax.com/GroverNorquist/List-Obama-Tax-Hikes/2012/09/27/id/457889 . These will surely stifle any recovery and hasten the Greatest Obama Depression commencing January 1, 2013 . . . IF Obama is reelected!
James Hull in Spring Branch, TX
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 8:44 PM
New Obamacare Taxes total 20, see: http://www.newsmax.com/GroverNorquist/List-Obama-Tax-Hikes/2012/09/27/id/457889 .
Jiggs in Millen, GA
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:12 PM
And yet, after all we have been through with this madman, there are those including many women who still want more. I never cease to be amazed at the credulousness of the American people and their lust for freebies, entitlements, and the like. Wake up, you dolts, you can't make a silk purse out of a sow's ear no matter how you spin it!
William Pless in Jasper, GA
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:13 PM
To "strong head winds" has now been added "bumps in the road". What next? Locusts and drought?
Paul in Lucerne Valley
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:21 PM
We already have a drought going in this country. Fields are drying up and blowing away, but this idiot of a pres. that we have does not care. He only cares about the poor maslams at this time, If I offend them well to bad. We need to get this fake idiot out of the house and put someone in who knows how to run a business not run one into the ground.
James Hull in Spring Branch, TX
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 8:36 PM
And a tsunami of new Obamacare taxes! See: http://www.newsmax.com/GroverNorquist/List-Obama-Tax-Hikes/2012/09/27/id/457889
zadok in atlanta
Tuesday, October 2, 2012 at 4:12 PM
You may not be far from reality with your comment about the locusts and drought. It might not be what ancient Egypt experienced, but perhaps the modern equivalent (locusts- insects which devour whatever is in their paths)
Paul in Lucerne Valley
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:17 PM
Call this so called recession what it really is, we are not in a recession but in fact we are in a depression. one that is going to take many years to get out of. Why because we have people that do not know what they are doing at this time. The pres. is blaming everyone but himself on this mess, he thinks that by rasing taxes he is going to get the economy going again, that's nuts what he needs to do is lower taxes so that companies will start hiring again. You lower taxes and people will invest again, but this idiot of a pres that we have does not see that all he can see are his maslem friends that he has given an exempt to. The pres. has given all these tax exemptions to those of his religion and has raised taxes om everyone else. What he is doing is sinking this countries economy and at a time that we can ill afford it.
joseph Hebert Jr in e Providence RI
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:42 PM
Romney isn't trying, and I don't know why. If he wanted to he could use the very arguments posted on The Patriot Post, word for word, to make his points and win debates....he's not trying, and we don't know why.
Chase in VA
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 3:46 PM
Amen, Joseph! If Romney cannot, or will not, artculate the straightforward message in the final paragraph of this editorial, he doesn't deserve victory and , sadly, we are, as anation, doomed to 4 more years oan "empty suit." president. May Heaven help America, for our electorial stupidity.
MNIce in Minnesota
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 3:58 PM
Is he not trying, or is he being blackballed by the news media? If you can't get the information to the people, it might as well be marked "Top Secret."
demsarerats in Oregon
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 9:29 PM
Romney is probably trying, he simply does not agree with our viewpoint. We in general see it as good vs. evil, Romney sees it as a matter of management competence. Romney may or may not like Obama as a person, but you can be certain that he does not see Obama as evil.
gerald r bauer in elba al.
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:57 PM
we have to get the president out of office and get the rest of his gang gone. put a new president in office and a hole gang of new minds.
Patrick in Houston
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 12:58 PM
This "recovery" is like being relieved of your bronchitis symptoms by dying of lung cancer. The cure is much worse than the disease.
Cheryl in Columbia, SC
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 1:29 PM
As the song says, "People get ready, there's a train a coming"...well it's NOT the gravy train.........and next verse "You don't need no ticket to get on board"....no, because we're going to get thrown under the (Obama) train.....
Joe Redneck in Arundel
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 1:01 PM
This is the exact reason why I would have preferred a pissed off Newt to a milquetoast Mitt. Americans have every right to be mad as hell and our Republican Presidential candidate should be also. Obama has given him so much ammo yet Mitt refuses to use it. Get MAD!! Mitt. If you don't, you will not win.
demsarerats in Oregon
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 2:58 PM
Joe, so true, Newt had street-fighting instincts, Romney has none.
Bill in Leawood, KS
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 4:04 PM
Why Romney will lose is simple. He is used to talking in terms of numbers and spreadsheets. The magnitude of the debt is just a number to most people, so large it is incomprehensible. However, toi Romney they mean something. Unfortunately the green eyeshade brigade is not very popular and not felt to be in touch with the reality experienced by most people. In general that is taken to mean that they really to not care what happens to real people, just what happens to dessicated, abstract numbers on a financial statement. Romney should have figured out how translate those dry numbers into tragedies for real people but neither he nor the doofuses running his campaign think that is important. Therefore he comes accross as an unfeeling, emtionless plutocrat who will never win an election. People will always prefer "I feel your pain (but I may not care)" to "I cannot be bothered to feel your pain."