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July 28, 2011

The Folly in Obama’s ‘Grand Bargain’

Here is what I do not understand: President Barack Obama is acutely aware of what will happen if Congress fails to raise the government’s $14.3 trillion debt ceiling. As he told the nation Monday, if Washington does not raise the debt ceiling by Aug. 2, rating agencies are expected to downgrade the government’s AAA credit rating, and interest rates will rise for everyone. The fallout could spark “a deep economic crisis.”

So why did Obama choose this moment to demand fiscal reform in Washington? When bipartisan commission heads Democrat Erskine Bowles and Republican Alan Simpson proposed a $4 trillion debt reduction package, Obama could have embraced the plan or supported it with changes, without putting the full faith and credit of the nation on the line. But he rejected the proposal. So why is he pushing for a $4 trillion deal now – when failure to win it would put the U.S. economy at greater risk?

Here is what I do not understand: President Barack Obama is acutely aware of what will happen if Congress fails to raise the government’s $14.3 trillion debt ceiling. As he told the nation Monday, if Washington does not raise the debt ceiling by Aug. 2, rating agencies are expected to downgrade the government’s AAA credit rating, and interest rates will rise for everyone. The fallout could spark “a deep economic crisis.”

So why did Obama choose this moment to demand fiscal reform in Washington? When bipartisan commission heads Democrat Erskine Bowles and Republican Alan Simpson proposed a $4 trillion debt reduction package, Obama could have embraced the plan or supported it with changes, without putting the full faith and credit of the nation on the line. But he rejected the proposal. So why is he pushing for a $4 trillion deal now – when failure to win it would put the U.S. economy at greater risk?

Why is the president demanding that Republicans agree to tax increases when he knows that tax increases are the poison pill that kills a crucial deal?

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has proposed a cynical but useful plan that would raise the debt ceiling and cut spending without raising taxes. Why didn’t the president do this? If he shaved the tax increases out of his “grand bargain,” the package likely would pass both houses of Congress, and Obama could declare victory and push the rest of his package as he campaigns for re-election.

When Obama and House Speaker John Boehner reportedly were close to a deal, why did Obama throw $400 billion in additional tax increases on top of $800 billion proposed earlier? The New York Times editorialized that Republicans were wrong to reject the deal over “a paltry $400 billion” after praising the president’s post-broken-talks news conference, at which he “radiated a righteous fury.” From this chair, $400 billion is a big chunk of change. And anyone who makes an impossible bargain more impossible looks like a man who doesn’t know how to take yes for an answer.

Why won’t the White House release a plan in writing? Spokesman Jay Carney told reporters that the White House has “shown a lot of leg” on negotiations. But the pro-transparency administration has not put out a plan so that voters could scrutinize it.

Would Democrats even have signed on to Obama’s “grand bargain”? Reid clearly is willing to pass a package without tax increases. Sen. Ben Nelson, D-Neb., said he opposes a deal with a tax increase, and Virginian Jim Webb has voiced reservations, as well. On the party’s far left, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi has bristled at the deal’s reported cuts in entitlement spending. Though Obama has complained about Republicans for leaving him at the altar, it’s not clear he had a wedding party.

Who gets hurt? Democratic partisans happily blame recalcitrant Republicans who won’t compromise, while they ignore Obama’s refusal to back down from a bad plan that can’t happen.

On Monday, the president complained that “it’s not fair” if a debt ceiling deal doesn’t close corporate-jet loopholes but reduces funding for education and clean energy. Will it be fair to working families and American homeowners if the U.S. economy falters again?

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