When Science Isn't

· Tuesday, October 4, 2011

You could almost feel the fear emanating from the official statement/caveat issued by the director of CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research. Its scientists, it seems, had discovered something they shouldn't have. Uh oh.

It would have been different if CERN's experimenters had loyally backed up the conventional scientific wisdom/orthodoxy about Climate Change, formerly global warming. The name had to be changed when certain unfortunate facts kept turning up. As they will in real science.

Now the most embarrassing piece of evidence yet has made its appearance at that super-sophisticated physics lab over in Switzerland where they put atomic particles through their very fast paces.

This time CERN's researchers have found that nearly half of the global warming observed of late isn't traceable to man's activities after all but to sunspots, specifically the fluctuations in solar cosmic rays that promote cloud formation. (I don't understand it, either, but I'll take the textbooks' word for it.)

Whatever the scientific validity of the physicists' findings, it's dynamite politically. As CERN's director, Professor Rolf-Dieter Heuer, must have well understood. Because, even before the experiment's findings were published, he told his scientists to "present the results clearly but not interpret them" -- lest they find themselves entering "the highly political arena of the climate-change debate." Which, of course, is just where they now find themselves.

How could it be otherwise when you're overturning applecarts everywhere in the Global Warming industry? There are certain possibilities you don't even want to hint at if you intend to stay a member in good standing of the scientific establishment. For climate change isn't just a theory any more, it's an article of faith. And anyone who dares dissent is treated as a heretic.

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The prudent thing to do, if a scientist must blab, is to present the results of his experiments "clearly but not interpret them." Some things should not be noised about. An Italian named Galileo Galilei got much the same advice from his friends in the church when he was challenging scientific dogma some time ago. But the man just would not shut up, or stop peering through his new-fangled telescope.

Scientists, the real ones, are like that: incorrigible. A stubborn bunch, they believe all theories are to be tested by the evidence. No matter how sacrosanct they have become. These types have no idea how politics works, whether it's of the church or state variety.

The latest Nobel laureate (physics, 1973) to join these subversives is Ivar Giaever at Rensselaer Polytech, who's just resigned from the American Physical Society after it formally declared that the theory of global man-made warning is "incontrovertible." As if any scientific theory can be. Mr. Giaever was a fellow at the society, a rare distinction. He's certainly earned it now by speaking out.

Not that Ivar Giaever is the first to notice that the emperor's clothes may not be quite there. He's following the examples set by another Nobelist, Robert B. Laughlin at Stanford; the late Norman Borlaug of Green Revolution fame; and the late Harold Lewis, emeritus professor of physics at UC-Santa Barbara and another APS fellow.

Professor Lewis resigned from this outfit last year, having had more than enough of its herdthink. He described the theory of Man-Made Climate Change, née Global Warming, as "the greatest and most successful pseudo-scientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist."

It's not that every one of these gentlemen believed or disbelieved the scientific theory/fad called Anthropogenic Global Warming. They just preferred to keep an open mind. But that's no longer allowed scientists in our advanced age.

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Remember Climategate? The most revealing aspect of that treasure trove of hacked emails was not how the evidence was being manipulated (as with the notorious hockey-stick graph and trick) but how the emailers were conspiring to blacklist any scientists who dared disagree with them.

If this latest scientific theory and fad really is incontrovertible, why devote so much effort and email traffic to censoring any dissent from it? To quote one of the emails on the necessity of keeping the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change free of any dissenting views: "I can't see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report. Kevin and I will keep them out somehow -- even if we have to define what the peer review is."

Whenever dissent is voiced, the high priests of Climate Change have a simple response. Shut up, they explain.

The ranks of Global Warming's true believers closed almost as soon as CERN's latest findings got out. The sheer number of scientists, UN bureaucrats and politicians-speaking-as-scientists (see Gore, Al) is often cited as proof of man-made climate change. As if scientific truth were determined by majority vote. And climate change has won by a landslide!

Recommended reading: "The Truth About Greenhouse Gases" by William Happer, Cyrus Fogg Professor of Physics at Princeton, that nest of subversives, in the June/July issue of First Things. He compared the worldwide enthusiasm for this oh-so-scientific theory with the crazes chronicled by Charles Mackay in his classic "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds."

To quote from the second edition of that work in 1852: "Men, it has been said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, one by one." And one by one, our scientists seem to be recovering.

(c) 2011 TRIBUNE MEDIA SERVICES, INC.


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Comments

Bill

Remember the 1970s when the same "climate scientist" types solemnly assured us that unless "particulates" being emitted from mufflers and from industrial smoke stacks were eliminated immediately, the earth would experience a "new ice age" by right about now, killing off mankind if the carcinogens in the dreaded "particulates" didn't do us all in first?

More recently, remember how "climate scientists" solemnly assured us that this hurricane season would be especially "busy" with many large storms and that the U.S. would likely be hard hit? I think they played the same tune last year, too, with similar accuracy.

Reflecting on this and the fact that honest meteorologists candidly acknowledge that any weather forecast that attempts to predict conditions more than a day or 2 in advance is just as likely to be wrong as it is to be right, why does anyone have any faith in "scientists" who presume to predict conditions years and decades into the future?

Don't people understand that most of them are driven by mercenary motives? They don't get grants, speaking fees, book royalties, etc. unless they have something controversial or politically appealing to peddle. With highly visible "scientists" it is always necessary to follow the money trail to determine what is really driving their pronouncements.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 11:25:59 AM


Julie

Peer pressur is real! People traditionally have a very hard time doing their own thinking. Especially when they have spent 12 to 20 years in the public brainwashing and political indoctrination stations otherwise known as public schools.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 11:35:55 AM


Mike

' the theory of global man-made warning is "incontrovertible."'

That makes it clearly religion, not science. The definition of a scientific theory is that it must be falsifiable. That is, it must present a statement that can be tested experimentally to determine whether it is true or false.

If it is incontrovertible, it is not possible to experimentally disprove it. Ergo, it is not a scientific theory, but a religious belief. Not that there is anything wrong with worshipping at the altar of manmade climate change.....It's just that arguing that a theory is incontrovertible is an admission that it is not a scientific theory.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 12:05:23 PM


Harry

Money, prestige, power....the science is settled...who are the true "flat earthers?"

It's amazing how many "scientists" would tie themselves to the "science is settled" side of the global warming..er..climate change "theory." My understanding of the scientific method was that you continually search for proof/data to substantiate or disprove your theory. I guess these "scientists" must have a perfect understanding of the earth as a system and have perfect predictive models. Right!

They are a disgrace. For them to call themselves "scientists" is an insult to real scientists past, present, and future.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 12:41:37 PM


Buck O'Fama

It seems a great amount of time and I'm sure expense was used to arrive at this conclusion when a very simple baseline procedure could be used to ascertain the facts much more quickly.

Is Al Gore associated with it?

Are liberals associated with it or support it?

Is the government trying to promote it?

Then it is a sham and a lie, that is all, move along, nothing to see here.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 1:18:39 PM


walter

global warming can also be attributed to the hot air coming from politicos and bureaucrats..

Posted October 4, 2011 at 2:20:12 PM


M Rick Timms. MD

Big yellow FireBall in the sky in daytime = Hot

Round/curved white Icecube in the Sky at night = Cold

Evidence of Climate change cycles throughout earth's geologic history - without man or manmade industry.

Source of Global warming/Climate Change? I'll go with the Fireball. We are all scientists - some just don't have a degree.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 5:27:50 PM


Mike Crognale

Yeah, we knew that. Anyone who had any science in grade school and high school prior to, say, 1970, already understood that the sun is the SOLE reason for weather changes.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 8:12:19 PM


Maria

Not that there is anything wrong with worshipping at the altar of manmade climate change.....

@Mike - love that nod to political correctness! Enjoyed :)

Posted October 4, 2011 at 9:52:16 PM


Abu Nudnik

Glad to see CERN doing its work and men of integrity standing up to the grotesque politicization of science. The politicians remind me of Stalin and his pronouncement that all artists should make work that have 'peopleness' and 'partyness.' No one know what those things were. You only knew yours didn't when you ended up dead.

Posted October 4, 2011 at 10:23:11 PM


Mecki

I especially enjoyed a Myth Busters episode in which they attempted to find out whether a vehicle with the windows rolled down or with the windows rolled up and the air conditioning on got better fuel consumption. First they used a computer model in the vehicle and it showed that the air-conditioned one got better gas mileage. However, not to be satisfied with that, they had two identical vehicles which they drove each with a given amount of gas. They were surprised when the vehicle with the windows down won. I have thought of that often as I listen to those who are so certain that the computer models are correct when the weather refuses to cooperate!

Posted October 5, 2011 at 9:28:44 AM


Mike McGinn

I'm reminded of a story I like to tell children when they ask about "climate change".

If you are quietly sitting in a cold environment with a warm winter jacket on and I put a blanket over you, will you be significantly warmer? The answer is probably no.

Because you are sitting quietly, your body is producing a given amount of heat. Your warm winter jacket is holding that body heat in and keeping you comfortable. If you continue sitting quietly and I put a blanket over you, you are not going to start sweating and getting hotter. Your warm winter jacket is already holding in the heat, thus there is little more escaping that a blanket could reflect back to make you significantly warmer.

Now, instead of sitting quietly, if you start exercising with your warm winter jacket on, you will obviously start to sweat and overheat because your body is producing more heat. So how did you get warmer without changing the amount of insulation?

The analogy with the earth is the same. Solar radiation is the "body heat" and green house gasses are the "warm winter jacket". If the solar radiation stays the same, it really doesn't matter much if the green house gasses are increased. You can sit quietly in a cold room with just a warm winter jacket or a huge pile of blankets, but you’ll probably be just as warm either way. But if you increase the amount of solar radiation, the temperatures are going to go up, even with just a "warm winter jacket" on (i.e., no change in green house gasses).

Man (and nature) can make all the green house gas it wants to. The "thickness" of the insulating blanket is less important than the amount of "body heat" being produced.

Posted October 5, 2011 at 12:37:46 PM


Icarus62

It's interesting to note that this article provides no evidence at all to back up the claim it makes. That's because no such evidence exists. CERN researchers have said no such thing. It's an observed fact that there has been no trend in cosmic rays for as long as we've been observing them (50 years or so) - in other words, whatever mechanism is found for cosmic rays to affect climate, they can't possibly have had anything to do with the current global warming. This is the fact of the matter.

Global warming is real, it's caused by us, and it is destroying our habitable climate. Children alive today, and future generations (if they ever exist) will curse us for what we have done. They will curse us for depriving them of the comfortable world we have grown up in, out of greed and subservience to sociopathic industrialists.

Posted October 5, 2011 at 12:38:43 PM


Icarus62

Mike McGinn: Your analogy doesn't work for the Earth's climate. A larger greenhouse effect, which is what we're causing now, does have a significant effect on climate because it causes infrared (i.e. heat) to be radiated away to space at a higher, and therefore colder level of the atmosphere. Hence less heat escapes, more is retained at the surface, and the planet heats up until outgoing radiation once again balances the incoming radiation from the sun. That's why Venus has a surface temperature of over 400C, hot enough to melt lead.

Posted October 5, 2011 at 12:54:20 PM


willie

Well, Icarus62, you must be drinking the Kool-aid. CERN did make that claim and did publish documents about that: http://cdsweb.cern.ch/record/423808

This was easily found by a simple Google search. Where are your proofs on "observed fact" on no changes on cosmic rays? "whatever mechanism is found for cosmic rays to affect climate, they can't possibly have had anything to do with the current global warming. This is the fact of the matter." Are you kidding me? You really believe the sun has nothing to do with current climate change? Climate is changing as it has since the world began, even without our "help".

Posted October 5, 2011 at 1:38:00 PM


Doug

Mike McGinn, guess what? If it's cold outside and I'm sitting quietly in my winter jacket, it's still cold. If I use a blanket, I really will be significantly warmer.

The sun doesn't do jumping jacks. Give or take tiny variations, and ignoring the upward drift in brightness that unfolds over billions of years as our star makes its way toward an inevitable red-giant death, it gives a constant flow of energy.

The earth is warmer than the moon because we have water vapor and CO2 in our atmosphere. The moon---doesn't even have an atmosphere.

Add extra C02 (about 50% more than before the industrial revolution, and headed toward double) and you'll get an increased effect.

That's about as close to incontrovertible as science gets. In principle, even the roundness of the earth isn't "incontrovertible". But the evidence in favor of it is overwhelming. Flat-earthers are rightly derided. For the very same reason, those who maintain that extra CO2 cannot and does not warm the earth don't get much respect in scientific circles.

Posted October 5, 2011 at 1:55:12 PM


doubter1000

The intensity of the Climate Change discourse and the intrinsic interest and excitement in the detective work is an unequaled pleasure.

Climate is in flux, as always. The many variables involved at last count arguably exceeded 15, so one 'culprit' is unacceptable.

My concern: Water vapor is the major interactive gas. It interacts according to air temperature. We are covering millions of acres with 'sunshades' or solar panels, capturing wattage/energy currently warming earth (or roof) and creating warm air rise. By definition we have meddled with thermals. Next, into the consequently reduced wind between the upward-thermal and the downward-cooled air we are inserting devices to capture/remove yet more energy by the hundreds of Megawatts, even Terawatts, again changing the speed, temperature, and moisture and energy content of a previously undisturbed system. Where is this model? Clouds not formed, air just not moved as before, moisture interactions altered. Where is even an acknowledgment that we are messing about NOW with the MAJOR 'greenhouse gas' - water vapor. We argue endlessly about fractional long term temperature change - is clearly argumentative, based upon fossil fuel use, yet NOTHING is said about DIRECT intrusion into the weather, hence Climate system. All those years of graduate school wasted. A shame.

Posted October 5, 2011 at 2:53:57 PM


icarus62

willie: You'll note that your link refers to something produced by a science *writer*, not a scientist, and certainly *not* CERN itself, and even then it doesn't support the claims of the article here.

The point about there being no trend in cosmic rays is indisputable -

http://www.realclimate.org/images/cr2011.jpg

So cosmic rays clearly cannot account for any significant portion of the warming trend of the last 50 years. What we do know is that the anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing is *much* larger than the solar forcing over this period, and it isn't going to go away - we can't invent some other natural forcing and get CO2 'off the hook'. It doesn't work that way.

Posted October 5, 2011 at 4:10:15 PM


JJB

The same is true about evolution. Show me the evidence for it. But if you're a scientist, you better not pursue the evidence against it(and there's a ton) because you will lose your career. It's no different for the evidence that homosexuality is in the genes. There's no evidence there either but you better not say it or you might end up flipping hamburgers at Mcdonaldsand that's only if Mcdonalds still agrees to hire you). George Orwell, you were right....only about 27 years too early.

Posted October 5, 2011 at 8:05:34 PM


JSmith

Icarus your screen name says it all

Posted October 5, 2011 at 11:13:33 PM


Army Officer

@ JJB,

I immediately thought the same thing myself. I've debated macro-evolution here and on other fora many times. I have a long list of questions for people who consider evolution to be "settled science." I'm still waiting for an answer to even one of them that is based on anything observed in nature or demonstrated in a laboratory.

Belief in macro-evolution takes even more faith than belief in Anthropogenic Climate Change - at least APG is theoretically plausible: the same cannot be said of macro-evolution.

Posted October 6, 2011 at 12:20:34 AM


CactusPatch

Why does life development have to either progress by Evolution, or spontaneously appear by Creationism?

Could it not, just as likely, be some combination of both?

Posted October 6, 2011 at 3:52:44 AM


Icarus62

When someone rejects biological science for ideological reasons, as we see here, then it's not surprising to see them reject other science as well (including climate science) for the same kind of reasons.

If the fact of our evolutionary origins conflicts with your religion, then so much the worse for your religion. If the fact of anthropogenic global warming conflicts with your political views, then so much the worse for your political views. We can't change the world by refusing to accept reality.

Posted October 6, 2011 at 7:38:42 AM


George

Isn't science wonderful? Everything new we learn simply adds to knowledge I was taught in university some forty-five years ago. The repetitive progression of global warming goes something like this if my memory serves me right. The Earth has an axis which is tilted > the earth's axis wobbles or tilts a couple degrees every forty-thousand years so so > when the tilt exposes the poles to extra sun-light as it is now, the poles begin to melt & the earth's atmosphere in general warms-up (global warming) > polar-ice is fresh water; this fresh melt-water dilutes the salinity of the oceans > this dilution directly affects oceans currents such as the Gulf-Stream which now longer carry heat to the temperate zones of the earth > the polar hemispheres cool down rapidly, hence a new ice-age and so on etc. Keep the politicians away from science!

Posted October 9, 2011 at 11:18:27 AM


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