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The Climate Has Changed
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
The case for man-made global warming took a major hit last week when 62 megabytes of data, including e-mail messages and model codes (searchable here), were stolen from the UK's University of East Anglia and then made public. The new information tells us much that we already suspected -- warming scaremongers are cooking the books and suppressing dissent in order to push their agenda.
These aren't just any scientists, either. They have been influential in driving the hype, including with the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which issued a report in 2007 declaring that the end is near if massive shackles aren't put on the economies of nations such as the U.S. Phil Jones, director of East Anglia's Climate Research Unit, Keith Briffa also of CRU and Michael Mann of Penn State University -- the creator of the debunked "hockey stick" graph -- are some of the key players.
One of the most enlightening e-mails discusses whether the work of academic skeptics should be included in that IPCC report (which won the Committee and Al Gore a Nobel Peace Prize, by the way). Jones wrote to Mann, "I can't see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report. Kevin [Trenberth] and I will keep them out somehow -- even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is!" Trenberth is head of the Climate Analysis Section at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research.
The pair also discussed how they could pressure scientific journals to maintain the party line. Mann suggested that, for one, the journal "Climate Research" should be targeted. "Perhaps we should encourage our colleagues in the climate research community to no longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal." (Sounds a bit like White House adviser David Axelrod's assessment of Fox News: "[Fox is] really not news -- it's pushing a point of view. And the bigger thing is that other news organizations ... ought not to treat them that way, and we're not going to treat them that way.")
Of course, the definition of science is challenging hypotheses, not stifling dissent; following the evidence, not contriving it to fit.
But stifling and contriving are exactly what warmists are doing. In another e-mail, Jones wrote, "I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd [sic] from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline." So the goal is to "hide the decline"?
Scientist Mick Kelly wrote to Jones about manipulating data to hide the fact that the planet is actually cooling: "I'll maybe cut the last few points off the filtered curve before I give the talk again, as that's trending down as a result of the end effects and the recent coldish years."
Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research wrote to Mann complaining of cold weather and admitting, "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment, and it is a travesty that we can't."
Perhaps they can't account for cooling because their code for creating the models is geared toward making the earth appear warmer. In fact, the code may be more damning than the e-mails. One line of code features, for example, a variable called "fudge factor," which allows these scientists to put in whatever they want to create the desired outcome in the computer models.
Australian geologist Ian Plimer, a global warming skeptic, summed it up: The e-mails "show that data was massaged, numbers were fudged, diagrams were biased, there was destruction of data after freedom of information requests, and there was refusal to submit taxpayer-funded data for independent examination." Other than that, the science was accurate!
Considering that everything from the Kyoto Protocol to Waxman-Markey and Kerry-Boxer in Congress, to EPA regulations to the Copenhagen conference are based on this faulty, fudged and fictitious data, policy makers should, at minimum, re-evaluate their plans. Certainly, the world's economy should not take a hit for nothing but lies.
UPDATE: The Washington Post, no doubt in an effort to be "fair and balanced," published three letters to the editor in response to an editorial about this climate scandal. Two of the letters were in opposition to the Post's defense of the warmists. Trouble is, the second letter was from none other than Michael Mann, and he linked to RealClimate.org so readers could be bombarded with more warming propaganda. The Post didn't bother to note that Mann is being investigated for his role in the scandal.
UPDATE 2 (Tuesday afternoon): The Associated Press reports, "Britain's University of East Anglia says [Phil Jones] the director of its prestigious Climatic Research Unit is stepping down pending an investigation into allegations that he overstated the case for man-made climate change."
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Paul
I have always been troubled by the climate change community claiming that the science is settled. There are far too many variables for any code to accurately predict future or explain past climate change. Trends are all that can be predicted. "The science is NOT settled".
The use of "fudge factors" does not trouble me too much, they can be useful in adjusting a curve to fit real data (when there are unmeasureable factors - like past global temperature data), but they are dangererous to rely on and care must be taken save the raw data for anyone wishing to check the "fudging" for truth. When fudge factors are used you never disgard the raw data to save space. That pretty much invalidates the results.
I am also deeply troubled by many of the comments I read in the exposed emails. Science is suppose to be the light that shines opening up for everyone the true beauty of nature. Intentionally hiding facts/data sets back science many years and trust is lost that may take years to get back.
I hope that people will recognize that the "scientists" involved in this global warming debacle are not "true" scientists but propagandists. The whole of the science community are better than that.
On a final note since the man made global warming issues is NOT settled it really could be true. These scientists have hurt their own cause. I personally believe there are many natural causes (like the sun) that can account for climate change, however as a good scientist (Ph.D. in chemistry) I will keep an open mind and allow the facts as they are discovered and reviewed to be the judge.
Posted December 1, 2009 at 12:53:39 PM
Larry Cornwell
Last year, I answered a telephone poll on global warming. The pollster was a co-ed from the University of Alabama. She asked me a long list of questions, including one which made her giddy with excitement when I answered "Al Gore" when asked who had brought global warming to the forefront. When I answered "the sun" to a question as to what had the most effect on the climate, she exclaimed in horror "THE SUN?" Apparently, that wasn't on her list of options.
Posted December 2, 2009 at 11:39:10 AM
Gilles
I fail to understand why this has not really blown up in the face of the climate change advocates and that the perpetrators are not being charged. The damage that has been done and will be done is unconscionable. The results will be devastating to the people around the globe re taxes and restraining our footsteps on the earth.
Any political leader who goes ahead and signs the treaty in Copenhagen is a traitor to his country, whichever it is. They should have the guts and integrity to stand up and state they were deceived and manipulated and that they will not participate further until science can unequivocally prove that a warming trend is upon us, then, prove that it is man-made beyond a shadow of a doubt.
The scientific community has suffered a very grave blow. How will the public know who to trust anymore? and believe me trust is everything. There is so much garbage and so many lies being foisted on all of us that one becomes cynical about everything, automatically. Surely there are people out there with integrity, and how do you know they have it? Everything seems to be tainted these days with lies,lies and more lies, quest for power and quest for money.
I pray the Lord comes soon to bring it to an end.
Posted December 2, 2009 at 1:52:51 PM
Patrick Hughes
What amuses me the most about the issue is how some people really think they can make a difference in the Earth's temperature! Maybe we can slow down the spinning, too, and some of them can fly off due to the change in gravity.
Posted December 2, 2009 at 2:52:39 PM
Lane Lavender
I am not surprised. In the 70's it was global cooling. We were all going to freeze because pollution was blocking out the sun. In the 80's, it was refrigerants destroying the ozone layer. There was a hole forming and anything under the hole would perish. Now the global warming fiasco! Scientist should be politically neutral. This is politics and a power grab nothing more. WAKE UP AMERICA!!!!!!!!
Posted December 2, 2009 at 3:13:28 PM
A Watts
This story highlights a bigger problem, in my honest opinion and that is that this is the modus operandi being perpetrated in the greater scientific community, such as it is. I refer specifically to the debate between Evolutionist (aka Darwinists) and those proponents of Intelligent Design. The Evolutionists, being in a position of power, block the ID community from publishing their papers then claim they have no peer reviewed papers published and therefore are not credible. They alter data and hide inconvenient facts. Indeed, there is little difference in how the GW Alarmists behaved and how Darwinists do.
Religion is a tough nut to crack; and both AGW and Evolution have become religions.
Posted December 2, 2009 at 3:14:15 PM
ken
Since the investigation of this matter is still pending, the dust hasn't yet settled. But if the allegations that the East Anglia scientists were bending the truth to support their agenda turn out to be true, it was indeed a scandalous act. We have seen scientists get the results they wanted by data selection before, and it will happen again. Scientists are human after all. But such behavior must not be tolerated -- the public good depends upon reliable conclusions. Regardless of the final outcome of this case, the misbehavior of a few scientists should never be taken as invalidation of all their work, or of the work of other scientists. To ignore a real problem because of the erosion of faith in science would be tragic for all affected, and in the case of climate change, that is all of human society.
Posted December 2, 2009 at 5:15:26 PM
Mike
I find the events neither surprising nor amusing but rather disgusting. Just like TV evangelists, these people have succumb to the very evil they preach against. Science is supposed to be about truth, openness and fact and once again power and greed have brought it down to a base level. These people should, if found guilty, be cast out and forever barred from holding any position of public trust ever again.
Posted December 2, 2009 at 5:48:00 PM
J McQueen
The Ozone I believed, because it was proven very easily in my eyes in the chemistry. The reaction to CFC's and O2 were pretty remarkable and quick.
Predicting the world is going to get warmer is the same as predicting the world is going to get cooler... both are true. Hell, one day the sun's gonna explode too... maybe we should add more H to it.... heh
While I think a lot (heck MOST) of scientists remarkably want to do GOOD for the world, there are always those that are more worried about the paycheck and the prestige, not for proving something and saying "Look" but for making it vague and saying "Look! (but not too closely)"
Personally I link the idea that we (as the human race) are massively changing the temperature of the WHOLE EARTH about as much as I believed my Mom when I left the door open in my youth and she said "Are you trying to cool down the whole neighborhood?!?!?" While we make make some small change, the idea that taxing businesses that are going to keep doing business and pass the tax down to the consumer until something better comes along anyway. (IE, technology that can "green" energy and better their profits better than the carbon they are using currently) is Idiotic. Then you add the "trade" to the cap and trade er... tax and trade... and yer just creating another market for Goldman Sach's... cause you know... they need more money.
Take care all
Posted December 2, 2009 at 7:22:46 PM
Fred
For a rigorous report on this "Climategate - an inconvenient truth?" issue see:
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/Monckton-Caught%20Green-Handed%20Climategate%20Scandal.pdf
Posted December 2, 2009 at 9:56:47 PM
Rich, E.L., MA
Go to and find the link to the SOHO (Solar Observatory, Heliospheric Observatory) There you'll find data explaining the current cooling trend (lack of solar activity, or solar minimum) search back and you'll find data that explains the warming they (the warmists) thought we had; a very active solar maximum. That timetable coincides with the measurements that showed a shrinking of the one polar cap on Mars. No SUV's up there. just the Sun.
Posted December 2, 2009 at 10:49:29 PM
Dave C
It was reported on the O'Reilly Factor that the messages were accessed through a Freedom of Information Act request there. Is this a different situation or are they the same?
Posted December 4, 2009 at 9:38:54 PM
mariana
Dave C: I believe the "perps" have been stonewalling the FOIA requests for lo these many... The actual acquisition of this data dump is somewhat ambiguous. mariana
Posted December 6, 2009 at 7:42:35 PM
Lauren Palmer
What amazes me is that people are surprised to learn that "reputable" scientists lie to prop up causes. Theories like evolution and ice ages have been accepted as "proven" when they never were; proponents just dropped the word "theory" and buried any disproving artifacts and arguments.
Posted December 11, 2009 at 12:42:31 PM
Mar T
i've always wondered how the 'weathermen' cannot predict whether it's gonna rain or shine today, and the 'climatologist can predict, with absolute certainty, that we will have a ctaclysmic iceage in 100 years.
At least the weatherman will look out the window and say, "Oops, sorry, looks like we'll have a rainy day", instead of (as the climatologist) try to sell me on on some abstract theory of 'liquid sunshine'.
but than, what do i know? i'm just a common worker, who pays the bills.
Posted December 11, 2009 at 1:15:51 PM