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January 19, 2015

Whatever Happened to the Scientific Consensus?

The alarm dial cranked to full throttle Friday after NOAA released its much-anticipated “bombshell” report analyzing last year’s climate numbers. According to NOAA, at 1.24 degrees Fahrenheit (0.69 degrees Celsius) above average, global temperatures sizzled to a value unmatched by previous years. We preemptively debunked the report in December and cautioned against falling for the dubious data crunching methods employed by federal agencies. But did the government actually come to the conclusion it’s claiming? Not exactly. The report “failed to mention … that the alleged ‘record’ amounted to an increase over 2010, the previous ‘warmest year’, of just two-hundredths of a degree – or 0.02C,” the Daily Mail revealed. That’s important because “[t]he margin of error is said by scientists to be approximately 0.1C – several times as much.” The Mail continued, “As a result, GISS’s [Goddard Institute for Space Studies] director Gavin Schmidt has now admitted [government officials believe] the likelihood that 2014 was the warmest year since 1880 is just 38 per cent.” And you can bet they’ll take that “consensus” to the bank. More…

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