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May 4, 2018

Finishing the Job — Turning Ohio Red in ‘18

President Trump needs a stronger bench in the U.S. Senate to get his nominees approved and accomplish his agenda. Mr. Trump surprised the pundits and beat Hillary Clinton in Ohio by +8 points, helping Sen. Rob Portman coast to an easy 2016 re-election victory. But 2018 is not 2016. President Trump is not on the ballot and Sen. Sherrod Brown brings the advantages of incumbency.

President Trump needs a stronger bench in the U.S. Senate to get his nominees approved and accomplish his agenda. Mr. Trump surprised the pundits and beat Hillary Clinton in Ohio by +8 points, helping Sen. Rob Portman coast to an easy 2016 re-election victory. But 2018 is not 2016. President Trump is not on the ballot and Sen. Sherrod Brown brings the advantages of incumbency.

President Trump recently endorsed Rep. Jim Renacci in Tuesday’s Ohio GOP Senate primary (May 8th). However, regardless of who becomes the GOP nominee for Senate, the real opportunity to fire Sherrod Brown in November and flip Ohio’s Senate seat red is actually in Ohio’s hotly contested gubernatorial primary … and her name is Mary Taylor. Let me explain.

Lt. Gov. Mary Taylor is facing off against Attorney General and former U.S. Senator Mike DeWine in Tuesday’s gubernatorial primary. Mr. DeWine has more money and was endorsed by most of the Columbus Establishment early, but he also brings a 42-year record as a career politician who voted for amnesty for illegals and chain migration multiple times, earned an “F” from the NRA for partnering with Chuck Schumer restricting Second Amendment freedoms, and an atrocious record on judicial confirmations including voting AYE on Sonia Sotomayor and Merrick Garland, to name just a few. Ohio conservatives remember Mr. DeWine’s long liberal record, and it has been reinforced recently when as attorney general he mandated driver’s licenses be given to illegals in Ohio. AG DeWine’s 25-point lead in the polls has vanished over the past six weeks despite his huge spending and media advantage, and now the race is a literal dead heat, with 25% still undecided.

Lt. Gov. Mary Taylor is the true conservative in the race. She chose Nathan Estruth, a strong Christian business leader known nationally as a conservative champion, as her running mate, and Mary is also the only candidate that has worked with President Trump. In fact, President Trump has been in Ohio three times in the last 12 months, and Mary has been with him all three times. Mr. DeWine has failed to appear with the president and has chosen instead to perpetuate Gov. John Kasich’s team and legacy (indeed, DeWine’s campaign manager, Dave Luketic, ran Kasich’s Presidential SuperPAC!). Furthermore, Mary Taylor worked directly with President Trump in the Oval Office last fall on an important jobs and energy investment by private companies in southeast Ohio.

Most importantly for switching that Ohio Senate seat, Mary Taylor is without a doubt the stronger general election candidate. Mary is a conservative accountant and mom who has much broader appeal amongst independents and conservative Democrats than Mike DeWine. In fact, in the last really tough election cycle in Ohio, 2006, when I lost the race for governor and DeWine lost the race for Senate to Sherrod Brown, only one GOP statewide candidate won that year. Her name was Mary Taylor, running for state auditor, and she outpolled sitting Sen. DeWine by over 175,000 votes statewide.

Private polling shows having Mary Taylor at the top of the ticket against Barack Obama/Elizabeth Warren protégé Richard Cordray will lift all GOP candidates’ chances, whereas having Mike DeWine as the nominee puts an anvil around the GOP Senate nominee’s neck, pulling him down 10 points or more, as many conservatives will choose to sit it out. Ohio deserves and needs conservative champions like Mary Taylor and Nathan Estruth, and the GOP Senate nominee needs them as well to defeat Sherrod Brown and flip the seat red in November.

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