Fellow Patriot: The voluntary financial generosity of supporters like you keeps our hard-hitting analysis coming. Please support the 2024 Patriots' Day Campaign today. Thank you for your support! —Nate Jackson, Managing Editor

July 18, 2023

The Frontrunner Who Looks Like a Loser Is Biden

Democrats don’t want to lose next year, but they have to play the hand they dealt themselves.

Are Democrats forfeiting the 2024 election?

In the Republican Party, Donald Trump has plenty of critics who say he can’t win next year.

To test that hypothesis, a strong slate of candidates is running as an alternative to him.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former Vice President Mike Pence, Sen. Tim Scott, former governors Nikki Haley and Chris Christie and the rest have their chance to convince voters they can do better.

So far, polls show Republicans sticking with Trump — and show Trump with a fair chance of beating Biden.

In national surveys where he trails, Trump is often behind by just a point or two, but national polls actually underestimated Trump’s support in 2016 and 2020.

Democrats can’t take any comfort from polls that show Biden with a narrow lead.

And not every poll shows Biden leading.

A Harvard-Harris survey last month found Trump ahead by six points.

Yet rather than testing Biden’s viability the way Republicans are testing Trump’s, Democrats are letting Biden take the nomination by default.

He has two primary challengers, but few media outlets treat Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or Marianne Williamson seriously, and they have virtually no support from Democratic officeholders.

Biden won’t debate Kennedy or Williamson, so voters won’t find out how well he can do on a stage he doesn’t control until it’s time for him to face his general-election opponent.

By then, it’ll be too late for second thoughts.

In April, only 47% of Democrats polled by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research said they wanted Biden to seek reelection.

If Democrats themselves aren’t enthusiastic about Biden, how optimistic can they be about getting independents to turn out for him?

Their hope is that “negative partisanship” will do their work for them.

Voters don’t have to like Biden as long as they dislike the Republican enough.

Democrats know how to run an anti-Trump campaign, and they’ll adapt that strategy to remake any other Republican into Trump.

If DeSantis gets the GOP nod, Democrats will say he’s a younger, more intolerant, more dangerous Trump.

If Pence gets it, Democrats will say he’s a candidate divided against himself, a man who was Trump’s collaborator before turning on him.

The scripts are easy to write — moderate Republican, conservative Republican, Trump or non-Trump, any GOP nominee will be painted in the same colors.

But Donald Trump isn’t in the White House today, and the best political science says presidential elections are referendums on the incumbent and his party.

Biden’s record and fitness to lead the country for another four years will be up for voters’ judgment no matter how they feel about the Republican Party or Trump.

About a third of registered voters polled by CNN/SSRS say they don’t want either Biden or Trump.

Come Election Day, most Americans feel they have to vote against the candidate they dislike more, which is why third-party efforts usually amount to nothing.

Yet even a tiny number of voters choosing a third-party or independent candidate in the battleground states of 2024 could swing the race.

Biden already has a rival on his left, as former Harvard professor Cornel West seeks the Green Party’s nomination.

The Green Party made the ballot in 30 states last time around and 44 in 2016.

It’s set to be on the ballot in the pivotal battlefields of Michigan and Wisconsin next year — states that went to the winner in 2016, when they were critical to Trump’s victory, and in 2020, when they switched to Biden.

Biden won Wisconsin with a little more than 20,000 votes. Even without West, the state’s at best a toss-up for him.

Democrats know just how bad the numbers are, to say nothing of the enthusiasm gap.

Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis have energetic true believers in the GOP: people for whom these candidates represent no compromise or second choice but the exact direction in which they want the party to move.

How many Democrats feel that way about Joe Biden?

Incumbent presidents who draw serious primary challengers tend to go down to defeat, along with their party.

As weak as Biden is, Democrats calculate he would only be weaker if he had to struggle through a primary, and anyone who beat him would be stuck with Biden’s legacy anyway.

Besides, if Biden loses, that only improves chances for congressional Democrats in the 2026 midterms — because six-year midterms are usually brutal for the incumbent’s party.

Democrats chose Biden as a reassuringly old face in the revolutionary times of 2020, a year of impeachment, COVID-19 and George Floyd riots.

They forfeited the future to run on the past, and it worked — only now the future’s catching up with them.

Democrats don’t want to lose next year, but they have to play the hand they dealt themselves.

COPYRIGHT 2023 CREATORS.COM

Who We Are

The Patriot Post is a highly acclaimed weekday digest of news analysis, policy and opinion written from the heartland — as opposed to the MSM’s ubiquitous Beltway echo chambers — for grassroots leaders nationwide. More

What We Offer

On the Web

We provide solid conservative perspective on the most important issues, including analysis, opinion columns, headline summaries, memes, cartoons and much more.

Via Email

Choose our full-length Digest or our quick-reading Snapshot for a summary of important news. We also offer Cartoons & Memes on Monday and Alexander’s column on Wednesday.

Our Mission

The Patriot Post is steadfast in our mission to extend the endowment of Liberty to the next generation by advocating for individual rights and responsibilities, supporting the restoration of constitutional limits on government and the judiciary, and promoting free enterprise, national defense and traditional American values. We are a rock-solid conservative touchstone for the expanding ranks of grassroots Americans Patriots from all walks of life. Our mission and operation budgets are not financed by any political or special interest groups, and to protect our editorial integrity, we accept no advertising. We are sustained solely by you. Please support The Patriot Fund today!


The Patriot Post and Patriot Foundation Trust, in keeping with our Military Mission of Service to our uniformed service members and veterans, are proud to support and promote the National Medal of Honor Heritage Center, the Congressional Medal of Honor Society, both the Honoring the Sacrifice and Warrior Freedom Service Dogs aiding wounded veterans, the National Veterans Entrepreneurship Program, the Folds of Honor outreach, and Officer Christian Fellowship, the Air University Foundation, and Naval War College Foundation, and the Naval Aviation Museum Foundation. "Greater love has no one than this, to lay down one's life for his friends." (John 15:13)

★ PUBLIUS ★

“Our cause is noble; it is the cause of mankind!” —George Washington

Please join us in prayer for our nation — that righteous leaders would rise and prevail and we would be united as Americans. Pray also for the protection of our Military Patriots, Veterans, First Responders, and their families. Please lift up your Patriot team and our mission to support and defend our Republic's Founding Principle of Liberty, that the fires of freedom would be ignited in the hearts and minds of our countrymen.

The Patriot Post is protected speech, as enumerated in the First Amendment and enforced by the Second Amendment of the Constitution of the United States of America, in accordance with the endowed and unalienable Rights of All Mankind.

Copyright © 2024 The Patriot Post. All Rights Reserved.

The Patriot Post does not support Internet Explorer. We recommend installing the latest version of Microsoft Edge, Mozilla Firefox, or Google Chrome.