Columnist.
If I am right, this will be the most costly disaster for the Carolinas and Virginias on record.
I am not in the market to harm any person in any debate. Looking back, I have found that fighting everybody and fighting everything is not what debating should be about. In fact, when it comes to the climate, fighting is a distraction from what someone like me really wants to do, which is nail forecasts. After all, name-calling has little to do with the real problem — what is the truth of an idea?
This article caught my eye: "CBS Scares Viewers With Predictions of Climate Change Causing West Coast Hurricanes."
Like 2017, we predicted a bad wildfire season in the spring. The fact that California had a wet period in the spring was a big reason to think a big wildfire season would ensue. The wet conditions resulted in additional foliage, so even if California had a "wet" summer by its standards, naturally it would dry out. Why? Because summer is a dry time in California even if there is average precipitation, which there has been by the way.
California Gov. Jerry Brown has that declared the wildfire-fueling heat in California is the worst since civilization began.
I continue to examine the idea that relatively minute increases in water vapor brought on by cyclically warmed oceans is the reason for the earth's warming. *But the way warming is portrayed must be looked at closely.* It is very real and adds to forecast problems, but as far as the hysteria you see whipped up in relation to mankind's self-destructing, it's just that to me — hysteria.
I sit in stunned amazement over the complete lack of intellectual curiosity to look at other ideas.
In spite of the heat hysteria, the facts show that over the past several years, the opposite has been true east of the Rockies. And the heat we have now cannot hold a candle to the heat and drought of the 1930s. Let's take a look back at some recent years.
I am making no secret about my East Coast hurricane worry this year. The more I look at the setup, the more concerned I am that, in spite of lower accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) overall, the East Coast is vulnerable to a major hit.
We are only 10 days into the month of July and reports of all-time record heat are flying hard and fast off the presses. Old guys like me were taught that the world's hottest recorded temperature — 136°F — occurred in Libya in 1922. That got thrown out in 2012. A bunch of other 130°-plus recordings got thrown out too. Apparently, the hottest temperature ever recorded in Africa happened just last week. The same goes for Los Angeles and a slew of other areas.
The title is from Andrea Bocelli's love song to God, "Un Nuovo Giorn" (A New Day). Solo rischiando tu vivrai translated means "Only [by] risking will you live."
The amazing large-scale change in the Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly over the last six months is resulting in much cooler water.
In this day and age of "everything is the worst ever," we were supposedly seeing a Southern Plains perma drought and the start of a new dust bowl, which raises the question: Why is it man-made if there was a previous dust bowl? The 2012-2013 reversal is amazingly similar to the 1950s reversal.
Yesterday was D-Day and I want to share some thoughts.
This June could challenge the hottest June on record in Texas. What's astounding is that two of the five following-year accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) analogs we have been using since last October — 1934 and 2011 — are two of the hottest.
Sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic are a study in extremes. We have a patch of very warm water from off the East Coast to near 30°W, but most of the Atlantic is now below average, with cooler temperatures being just as impressive as the warmth. This is the coldest look to the Atlantic Basin in many years and has implications.
Those who've known me through the years know that my go-to line at the end of any video I do is "Enjoy the weather. It's the only weather you got." It is sort of a happy-go-lucky line, because I like being happy, and weather has always been a source of great joy to me.
March and April have been wet again in California. This provides us some valuable clues as to what is coming down the road.
Tornadoes have become the darling of those arguing the climate is going to you-know-where in the Wicked Witch of the West bicycle basket. But after all the hysteria that occurred following the 2005 hurricane season, it took 11 years for another major hurricane to hit the U.S. Now, on my power and impact scale, which differs slightly from the official Saffir-Simpson scale, there were three major hurricane strikes during that span. Regardless, the period was still well below the average.
The January-April period this year will make nine of the last 12 periods colder than normal for the U.S. We have had three outstanding warm ones (2012, 2016 and 2017).
