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April 16, 2026

After Swalwell, California Democrats Are Left With a Difficult Tradeoff

Eric Swalwell’s exit may have removed one crisis from the center of the race, but it did not produce a stable or uncontested field.

Eric Swalwell went from a serious Democrat contender in the California gubernatorial race to a political liability — out of the race and then out of Congress — in a matter of days, as sexual misconduct allegations mounted and party support rapidly collapsed. Swalwell has denied the allegations, but the broader point remains: major political parties do not abandon prominent candidates within 24 hours unless the outcome was intentional.

The speed of Swalwell’s downfall exposed how coordinated modern party politics has become.

That collapse immediately shifted attention to the electable Democrats still in the race, particularly Katie Porter and Tom Steyer. The problem for Democrats is that neither candidate offers the clean reset the party now appears to want — or at least should want. Swalwell’s exit may have removed one crisis from the center of the race, but it did not produce a stable or uncontested field.

Porter, a former member of Congress, has spent years cultivating an image built on discipline, competence, and policy seriousness. That image, however, has repeatedly run into a very different record.

The most serious controversy comes from her divorce from Matt Hoffman, which included competing restraining orders and allegations of domestic abuse. Porter denied the accusations, including the allegation that she dumped hot potatoes on Hoffman’s head. Hoffman later publicly stated that he did not recant his claims, directly contradicting efforts to dismiss the matter as settled.

That does not mean every allegation can be proven beyond dispute. It does mean, however, that the public record is far messier than Porter’s supporters often suggest. In statewide politics, unresolved allegations do not disappear simply because they remain contested. Voters are judging credibility, conduct, and whether a candidate’s public image matches private behavior.

Porter has also faced criticism over her treatment of staff. That issue gained renewed attention after a video resurfaced showing her berating a staffer during a virtual event and shouting for the person to get out of her shot. Porter later expressed regret, but the footage mattered because it reinforced an existing pattern rather than creating a new one.

A candidate already facing questions about temperament does not benefit from new evidence that appears to confirm them.

Then there is Tom Steyer, who is now polling at approximately the same level as Porter. Steyer presents himself as a progressive reformer, but his candidacy highlights a different kind of Democrat hypocrisy. He is a billionaire hedge fund founder who built his wealth through the very financial and corporate systems the Left regularly condemns.

His investment history is directly linked to fossil fuel companies and private prisons, even as he later attempted to build a political identity around progressive activism and climate politics.

Steyer’s personal wealth also gives him a structural advantage in a race like this. He can self-fund at a level few candidates can match, remain visible regardless of establishment hesitation, and survive politically without relying as heavily on traditional donor networks.

Still, a party that claims to distrust concentrated wealth may now rally behind a billionaire progressive whose financial history would normally be treated as disqualifying.

The broader issue in this race is no longer just who replaces Swalwell, but rather what the leading candidates of the Democrat Party now say about the party itself. Democrats may have forced Swalwell out, but they are still left with a field led by a candidate facing long-running personal and workplace questions and a billionaire progressive whose own record undermines his ideological branding.

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