Dan Gilmore / Aug. 5, 2015

Vacation Shows Obama Cocky in Iran Deal

Despite nearly everyone in Washington taking vacation, the horse race must go on.

The clock is winding down until Congress will vote in September to either approve or reject the nuclear deal the Obama administration struck with Iran. But despite nearly everyone in Washington taking vacation a month before the vote, the horse race must go on, and the speculation on how each lawmaker will vote is running rampant. House Republicans say they have enough votes to defeat the deal. Meanwhile, the Senate may be a handful of votes away from having a veto-proof consensus against the deal. The decision may come down to the heir to Democrat Senate leadership and supporter of Israel Chuck Schumer. As for Barack Obama, he’s confident that his foreign policy legacy is in the bag — at least for now. He will read a speech from a teleprompter at American University later today advocating the deal — echoing a speech John F. Kennedy made in 1963 — and then jet off to Martha’s Vineyard for a two-week vacation. In doing so, Obama is overestimating his oratorical chops and underestimating the opposition to the deal. Obama wants everyone to believe that if Congress rejects the deal war will come — illustrated by the fact that those who supported the Iraq war want this “peace” deal squashed. But Obama sits thousands of miles away from the situation. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Iran would return to the negotiation table if this deal is rejected “because they need this deal.”

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