March 14, 2016

Trump Gets One Delegate Saturday, Eyes Tuesday Wins

The states to watch are Florida and Ohio.

The GOP primaries held Saturday were a pleasure cruise compared to the political waves that will come when the results from the five states that vote on Tuesday come rolling in. Wyoming, Guam and the District of Columbia decided their candidates and unlike the rest of the results so far, Ted Cruz took Wyoming with a comfortable 66.3% support among GOP voters and picked up a lone delegate from Guam. The most interesting result of the weekend, however, was the DC vote, as Donald Trump and Cruz came in a distant third and fourth, respectively. That further illustrates how Cruz and Trump are not the establishment candidates — or at least in Trump’s case not viewed that way.

But the more significant races will be the contests for Florida and Ohio Tuesday, where the winner will take all of the Sunshine State’s 99 delegates and The Mother of Presidents’ 66. If Trump wins both, he will give John Kasich and Marco Rubio little excuse to stay in the race, and he would have amassed so many delegates that Cruz’s chances of becoming the nominee border on the impossible.

Kasich leads in his home state at 37.8% support, with Trump coming in second with 31.8%. In an all-out effort to stop a Trump nomination, Rubio has told his Ohio supporters to cast their votes for Kasich. Trump is leading the Florida polls, but Kasich will not tell his Florida supporters to cast a strategic vote for Rubio in order to stop the real estate mogul. The polls have Trump pushing 40%, with Rubio struggling at 24%. Kasich’s 9% support could give Rubio a chance at preventing Trump from scooping up 99 delegates, but as Kasich said, “I’m not into a stop Trump as much as I am be-for-Kasich movement.” And he calls himself “the prince of light and hope.”

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