Publisher's Note: One of the most significant things you can do to promote Liberty is to support our mission. Please make your gift to the 2024 Year-End Campaign today. Thank you! —Mark Alexander, Publisher

November 13, 2024

Demographic Doomsday: A Crisis Averted?

Trump won non-white voters on a campaign of mass deportations and strong border security.

In the 1990s, National Review published a cover story in which a senior editor at the time, Peter Brimelow, and his colleague, Edwin Rubenstein, used statistical analysis of voting behavior and America’s changing demographics to predict that Democrats would secure a permanent majority in American politics.

Shortly thereafter, John Judis and Ruy Texiera published a book in which they lauded how the increased presence of non-whites in America would give the Democrat Party an electoral advantage for election cycles to come.

Given the differential voting patterns between ethnic groups in America and the sheer volume of legal immigration to the United States starting in the 1970s, Brimelow’s saying that “demographics are destiny in American politics” seemed like a truism. After all, between 1992 and 2020, Republicans only won the popular vote in the presidential election two times, a trend largely attributable to the population growth of immigrants and their descendants.

Fortunately for America, the left-wing elite’s hold on non-white Americans seems to be weakening. The exit polls for the 2024 election show that Hispanic men voted for Donald Trump over Kamala Harris by 12 percentage points, a 35-point change since Joe Biden’s victory in 2020. Additionally, the Trump campaign was able to shrink the traditionally 40- to 50-point lead Democrats have over Republicans with Hispanics overall to a paltry six points and also won over non-whites who identified as “other” by nine points. This shift of non-whites to Trump ultimately delivered Republicans their first popular vote victory in decades.

Worth noting is that Trump was able to make these enormous gains without engaging in the same ethnic pandering that the Left does. Furthermore, Trump was able to win these non-white voters on a campaign of mass deportations and strong border security that the Republicans of yesteryear would have slandered as “morally repugnant” or an act of “electoral suicide” given the rising dominance of Hispanics in America.

Two decades ago, Republicans were lectured by Karl Rove that liberal immigration policies were the key to Pablo the Pool-boy’s vote. Rather than think that Pablo and his hard-working, law-abiding peers were Americans who cared about real issues like the economy and law and order, Rove thought that Pablo was a Mexican first and American second, arguing that to curry favor with Pablo and his pueblo, Republicans would have to give illegal immigrants citizenship and allow them free access to our buffet of government giveaways.

Now, it is also important to be honest and realistic about how this recent shift in voting behavior does not mean these non-white Trump voters love Liberty or believe in a limited federal government. After all, many white Trump voters are longtime Democrats who sat idly by while Democrat presidents and their Supreme Court appointees defiled our Constitution and introduced government program after government program.

Presidential elections are not indicative of a change in ideology. Rather, they are an avenue for voters to vent frustration about their economic condition and cultural resentments. I point this out not to say that voters are ignorant or uneducated about public policy but that these historic election results do not indicate a permanent widespread ideological shift in favor of conservative ideas.

What the results of the latest election do tell us is that there are millions of Americans — particularly non-white Americans — who are open to trying something they never previously had before. Non-whites are telling our ruling class that they are done being talked down to. They are done being treated as if they are crystal castles that could crumble with the slightest microaggression and thus need protection provided by a legion of rich White Liberal Knights. And most importantly, they are sick of being told that their concerns about the safety of their communities or their pocketbooks should be secondary to their tribal identity.

While the momentum is in the Right’s favor, the Democrats’ latest defeat is not a wholesale repudiation of the demographic doomsdayism I mentioned earlier. Conservatives will have to work tirelessly to turn this rightward shift of non-whites into a permanent constituency of proud, Liberty-loving Americans.

Democrats are finally learning the consequences of taking non-white voters for granted — it would be a shame if Republicans do the same and are caught with their pants down during the midterm elections, or worse, the next presidential election.

Who We Are

The Patriot Post is a highly acclaimed weekday digest of news analysis, policy and opinion written from the heartland — as opposed to the MSM’s ubiquitous Beltway echo chambers — for grassroots leaders nationwide. More

What We Offer

On the Web

We provide solid conservative perspective on the most important issues, including analysis, opinion columns, headline summaries, memes, cartoons and much more.

Via Email

Choose our full-length Digest or our quick-reading Snapshot for a summary of important news. We also offer Cartoons & Memes on Monday and Alexander’s column on Wednesday.

Our Mission

The Patriot Post is steadfast in our mission to extend the endowment of Liberty to the next generation by advocating for individual rights and responsibilities, supporting the restoration of constitutional limits on government and the judiciary, and promoting free enterprise, national defense and traditional American values. We are a rock-solid conservative touchstone for the expanding ranks of grassroots Americans Patriots from all walks of life. Our mission and operation budgets are not financed by any political or special interest groups, and to protect our editorial integrity, we accept no advertising. We are sustained solely by you. Please support The Patriot Fund today!


The Patriot Post and Patriot Foundation Trust, in keeping with our Military Mission of Service to our uniformed service members and veterans, are proud to support and promote the National Medal of Honor Heritage Center, the Congressional Medal of Honor Society, both the Honoring the Sacrifice and Warrior Freedom Service Dogs aiding wounded veterans, the National Veterans Entrepreneurship Program, the Folds of Honor outreach, and Officer Christian Fellowship, the Air University Foundation, and Naval War College Foundation, and the Naval Aviation Museum Foundation. "Greater love has no one than this, to lay down one's life for his friends." (John 15:13)

★ PUBLIUS ★

“Our cause is noble; it is the cause of mankind!” —George Washington

Please join us in prayer for our nation — that righteous leaders would rise and prevail and we would be united as Americans. Pray also for the protection of our Military Patriots, Veterans, First Responders, and their families. Please lift up your Patriot team and our mission to support and defend our Republic's Founding Principle of Liberty, that the fires of freedom would be ignited in the hearts and minds of our countrymen.

The Patriot Post is protected speech, as enumerated in the First Amendment and enforced by the Second Amendment of the Constitution of the United States of America, in accordance with the endowed and unalienable Rights of All Mankind.

Copyright © 2024 The Patriot Post. All Rights Reserved.

The Patriot Post does not support Internet Explorer. We recommend installing the latest version of Microsoft Edge, Mozilla Firefox, or Google Chrome.