Did you know? The Patriot Post is funded 100% by its readers. Help us stay front and center in the fight for Liberty and support the 2024 Patriots' Day Campaign.

March 5, 2024

Veepstakes Give Trump an Edge

Small though the influence of a VP pick usually is, Trump has several ways to turn the right choice into a winning hand.

Donald Trump is already beating Joe Biden; polls last weekend from The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, CBS News and Fox News all agree.

But the race is close: Trump’s lead is only 2-5 points, and there’s plenty of time for new events to tip the outcome in the eight months between now and Election Day.

Unfortunately for Biden, one new development voters can count on will certainly favor Trump: his announcement of a running mate.

How much difference will a fresh face on the GOP undercard make?

In recent decades, both parties have picked VPs to remedy the inexperience of presidential nominees.

George W. Bush in 2000 seemed like a foreign-policy lightweight next to Al Gore, who had served eight years as vice president and eight years before that as a U.S. senator.

So Bush chose former Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney as his running mate.

Barack Obama encountered similar doubts about his readiness to handle international affairs in 2008 — so he selected the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, the long-serving Sen. Joe Biden, as his partner.

In 2016, Donald Trump had no government experience whatsoever and was a newcomer to the Republican Party itself.

He made a safe choice with Indiana Gov. Mike Pence, a reassurance to old-guard Republicans who might still harbor reservations about Trump after the primaries.

Losers’ slates from 2000 to 2016 typically used the VP slot to offer more of what voters were already getting at the top of the ticket, sometimes with added geographic appeal for a state that might otherwise not be in play.

What did House Speaker Paul Ryan bring to Mitt Romney’s ticket in 2012?

In theory, Wisconsin — in fact, nothing.

Sen. Tim Kaine added as little to Hillary Clinton’s 2016 effort: Virginia was already a blue state, and if Kaine was meant to be more moderate than Clinton, voters didn’t notice.

Biden’s choice of Kamala Harris in 2020 bore a resemblance to John McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin in 2008.

Both were chosen for diversity: in Palin’s case not only as a woman but as a conservative outsider paired with the experienced and maverick-y John McCain.

Harris had race and sex to commend her — and little else.

Her background as California’s attorney general hardly endeared her to progressives, and her stage presence endears her to no one.

She satisfies Democrats’ need for somebody who isn’t white and isn’t male.

Beyond that, she perhaps provided Biden with insurance that he wouldn’t be passed over in favor of a younger, more popular VP once 2024 came around.

Trump doesn’t have to worry about another nomination if he wins this time, and as a former president, experience is the least of his needs in a running mate.

Instead he has to think about a successor, particularly if he continues to face legal troubles after a second term.

A successor with the power to pardon is Trump’s last defense against progressives’ lawfare.

Will he risk his freedom on a running mate from the Nikki Haley or Mike Pence wing of the party?

No — Trump won’t try to “balance” his ticket with anyone from a rival GOP faction.

Loyalty is the top requirement.

After that, the criteria are still likely to be diversity and geography — considerations that proved unsuccessful in many recent selections, back to Walter Mondale’s choice of Geraldine Ferraro in 1984, when their ticket went on to win just one state and the District of Columbia.

South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem and New York Rep. Elise Stefanik seem to be the women highest on Trump’s short list.

South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott is Trump’s likeliest Black running mate, though Trump might wonder if Scott would risk his own political capital four years from now to rescue him from legal peril.

Noem, Stefanik and Scott all hail from solidly red or blue areas; none would automatically shift a state.

Would a white male like Sen. J.D. Vance do so?

Vance’s Ohio is reliably in Trump’s column, but if Vance can appeal to blue-collar voters in neighboring Pennsylvania or other Rust Belt battlefields, he’ll help rebuild the map that won Trump the White House in 2016.

Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan are each in contention, along with Georgia and Arizona.

Suburban women have a powerful say in all those places, and even a marginal increase in Black support for Trump — or drop in enthusiasm for Biden-Harris — could be catastrophic for Democrats.

Small though the influence of a VP pick usually is, Trump has several ways to turn the right choice into a winning hand.

Biden, by contrast, has no choice: His ticket is the ticket of 2020, four years worse for wear, as Trump heads into their rematch with a new element on his side.


Who We Are

The Patriot Post is a highly acclaimed weekday digest of news analysis, policy and opinion written from the heartland — as opposed to the MSM’s ubiquitous Beltway echo chambers — for grassroots leaders nationwide. More

What We Offer

On the Web

We provide solid conservative perspective on the most important issues, including analysis, opinion columns, headline summaries, memes, cartoons and much more.

Via Email

Choose our full-length Digest or our quick-reading Snapshot for a summary of important news. We also offer Cartoons & Memes on Monday and Alexander’s column on Wednesday.

Our Mission

The Patriot Post is steadfast in our mission to extend the endowment of Liberty to the next generation by advocating for individual rights and responsibilities, supporting the restoration of constitutional limits on government and the judiciary, and promoting free enterprise, national defense and traditional American values. We are a rock-solid conservative touchstone for the expanding ranks of grassroots Americans Patriots from all walks of life. Our mission and operation budgets are not financed by any political or special interest groups, and to protect our editorial integrity, we accept no advertising. We are sustained solely by you. Please support The Patriot Fund today!

The Patriot Post and Patriot Foundation Trust, in keeping with our Military Mission of Service to our uniformed service members and veterans, are proud to support and promote the National Medal of Honor Heritage Center, the Congressional Medal of Honor Society, both the Honoring the Sacrifice and Warrior Freedom Service Dogs aiding wounded veterans, the National Veterans Entrepreneurship Program, the Folds of Honor outreach, and Officer Christian Fellowship, the Air University Foundation, and Naval War College Foundation, and the Naval Aviation Museum Foundation. "Greater love has no one than this, to lay down one's life for his friends." (John 15:13)


“Our cause is noble; it is the cause of mankind!” —George Washington

Please join us in prayer for our nation — that righteous leaders would rise and prevail and we would be united as Americans. Pray also for the protection of our Military Patriots, Veterans, First Responders, and their families. Please lift up your Patriot team and our mission to support and defend our Republic's Founding Principle of Liberty, that the fires of freedom would be ignited in the hearts and minds of our countrymen.

The Patriot Post is protected speech, as enumerated in the First Amendment and enforced by the Second Amendment of the Constitution of the United States of America, in accordance with the endowed and unalienable Rights of All Mankind.

Copyright © 2024 The Patriot Post. All Rights Reserved.

The Patriot Post does not support Internet Explorer. We recommend installing the latest version of Microsoft Edge, Mozilla Firefox, or Google Chrome.