April 14, 2011

The Curse of Free Money

ANSAS CITY, Mo. – The lobby of the Federal Reserve Bank building here contains a money museum where a sign offers visitors “Free Money.” It is an amusing anomaly, considering the views of the man in charge of the building.

The free money in the lobby consists of shredded currency in small plastic bags. The free money that distresses Tom Hoenig, in his 20th and final year as president of one of the Federal Reserve’s 12 regional banks, is being pumped into the economy by two policies of the Federal Reserve in Washington – very low interest rates and a second “quantitative easing” (printing money).

ANSAS CITY, Mo. – The lobby of the Federal Reserve Bank building here contains a money museum where a sign offers visitors “Free Money.” It is an amusing anomaly, considering the views of the man in charge of the building.

The free money in the lobby consists of shredded currency in small plastic bags. The free money that distresses Tom Hoenig, in his 20th and final year as president of one of the Federal Reserve’s 12 regional banks, is being pumped into the economy by two policies of the Federal Reserve in Washington – very low interest rates and a second “quantitative easing” (printing money).

As the global recovery gains strength, the prices of three things will rise – oil, food and money. David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff in Toronto reports that in the last three months, 100 percent of the $55 billion increase in aggregate U.S. wages and salaries has been matched by increased grocery and gasoline prices. They are absorbing 22 percent of wages and salaries, a portion matched only twice in the last two decades – both times presaging recessions.

Under the $600 billion QE2, which ends in June, the Fed has been buying about 70 percent of the Treasury’s new issues of debt. What interest rate might be required to attract buyers to fill the space left when the Fed withdraws from the market? Interest rates are the prices of money, and Hoenig says: “Tell me one product, one service, that trades well” – he means, is put to efficient use – “at a price of zero.”

Hoenig notes that cheap money policies predated the recession: He says the real federal funds rate – after discounting inflation – was negative about 40 percent of the time in the 1970s and the 2000s. In 2003, he says, under Alan Greenspan, interest rates were reduced to 1 percent because unemployment was too high. It was only 6.3 percent. Today it is 8.8 percent in the aftermath of the housing bubble and financial recklessness fueled by virtually free money.

Last year was Hoenig’s last as a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, which sets the money supply and interest rates. Eight times the committee voted to hold rates low; each time, Hoenig was the lone dissenter.

He was at home one Sunday morning when he received a phone call from an 85-year-old woman in Connecticut. She said she and her late husband had lived frugal lives so they could get by in retirement on interest from their savings. Such people are among the losers under low-interest policies that mock the virtue of saving.

The winners include the 20 percent of Americans who own 93 percent of the equities. One purpose of the policy of protracted rock-bottom interest rates is to stimulate credit-sensitive sectors of the economy, particularly housing. In January, for the sixth consecutive month, housing prices plunged, almost to the level at the trough of the recession in 2009.

Perhaps the primary purpose of low rates is to send money flooding into the stock market in search of higher returns. The resulting run-up of equities’ values supposedly will produce a “wealth effect,” making fortunate people feel even more flush, and hence eager to spend and invest.

Hoenig, an Iowa native, says the provinces have not cornered the market on provincialism. He warns “end the Fed” advocates to be careful what they wish for. The Fed will not go away; under “reform,” regional banks such as his might. This, he says, would make the New York-Washington financial axis more powerful relative to “this part of the country.”

Would, he asks, America be better off if it were more like Canada, with most credit controlled by five major banks? His answer is that America’s innovative dynamism is related to the existence of thousands of community and regional banks attuned to local needs. He thinks the biggest threat to the economy is the existence of too-big-to-fail financial institutions:

“In 1999, the five largest U.S. banking organizations controlled $2.3 trillion in assets, or about 38 percent of all banking industry assets. Currently, Bank of America by itself … has the same level of assets – $2.3 trillion … and the top five now have 52 percent of all banking industry assets. … Creditors and uninsured depositors at too-big-to-fail organizations believe that there is almost no chance that they will have to take a loss.”

With all this, could we ever get back to capitalism? “Not,” he says, “in my lifetime.”

© 2011, Washington Post Writers Group

Who We Are

The Patriot Post is a highly acclaimed weekday digest of news analysis, policy and opinion written from the heartland — as opposed to the MSM’s ubiquitous Beltway echo chambers — for grassroots leaders nationwide. More

What We Offer

On the Web

We provide solid conservative perspective on the most important issues, including analysis, opinion columns, headline summaries, memes, cartoons and much more.

Via Email

Choose our full-length Digest or our quick-reading Snapshot for a summary of important news. We also offer Cartoons & Memes on Monday and Alexander’s column on Wednesday.

Our Mission

The Patriot Post is steadfast in our mission to extend the endowment of Liberty to the next generation by advocating for individual rights and responsibilities, supporting the restoration of constitutional limits on government and the judiciary, and promoting free enterprise, national defense and traditional American values. We are a rock-solid conservative touchstone for the expanding ranks of grassroots Americans Patriots from all walks of life. Our mission and operation budgets are not financed by any political or special interest groups, and to protect our editorial integrity, we accept no advertising. We are sustained solely by you. Please support The Patriot Fund today!


The Patriot Post and Patriot Foundation Trust, in keeping with our Military Mission of Service to our uniformed service members and veterans, are proud to support and promote the National Medal of Honor Heritage Center, the Congressional Medal of Honor Society, both the Honoring the Sacrifice and Warrior Freedom Service Dogs aiding wounded veterans, the National Veterans Entrepreneurship Program, the Folds of Honor outreach, and Officer Christian Fellowship, the Air University Foundation, and Naval War College Foundation, and the Naval Aviation Museum Foundation. "Greater love has no one than this, to lay down one's life for his friends." (John 15:13)

★ PUBLIUS ★

“Our cause is noble; it is the cause of mankind!” —George Washington

Please join us in prayer for our nation — that righteous leaders would rise and prevail and we would be united as Americans. Pray also for the protection of our Military Patriots, Veterans, First Responders, and their families. Please lift up your Patriot team and our mission to support and defend our Republic's Founding Principle of Liberty, that the fires of freedom would be ignited in the hearts and minds of our countrymen.

The Patriot Post is protected speech, as enumerated in the First Amendment and enforced by the Second Amendment of the Constitution of the United States of America, in accordance with the endowed and unalienable Rights of All Mankind.

Copyright © 2024 The Patriot Post. All Rights Reserved.

The Patriot Post does not support Internet Explorer. We recommend installing the latest version of Microsoft Edge, Mozilla Firefox, or Google Chrome.