April 9, 2024

The U.S. Has No Choice but to Undertake Radical Economic Change

Correcting courses requires both the acceleration of private-sector economic growth and a reduction in the public sector.

Burdened with $34.5 trillion in national debt that is currently growing by $1 trillion every 100 days, the U.S. economy is headed for disaster. It falls on the next administration to change that trajectory while also introducing policies that increase and broaden economic growth and wealth creation for everyone. Changing course is not easy, but people are waking up rapidly to the shocking reality that we are on an unsustainable course. Those who recognize that financial collapse is at our door can’t unsee it, and they will embrace fundamental change from unconventional leadership.

Correcting courses requires both the acceleration of private-sector economic growth and a reduction in the public sector.

What holds back the U.S. economy from achieving average GDP growth rates above 3%, which were common in every decade after World War II up until the turn of the 21st century, is the growth of government spending and government debt.

The widely acclaimed 2009 analysis by Harvard economics professors Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff — which concluded that national debt levels above 90% of GDP significantly reduce a country’s economic growth rate — explains in part why U.S. economic growth has become more anemic than previously.

The deficit spending of the Obama administration, which broke through that 90% debt-to-GDP ratio in 2010 with three years of trillion-dollar deficits, marked the steepening trajectory of our path to insolvency. The U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio now exceeds 122%. Our current $34.5 trillion national debt has grown eightfold in the 16 years since George W. Bush passed the presidential mantle to Barack Obama.

What is increasingly troubling is the extent to which the U.S. government is borrowing new money to service old debt. That borrowing is adding over $11 billion to the national debt every day. And that additional $11 billion to the national debt daily is financed with additional borrowing … and so on, until the compounding of national debt ends in financial collapse. Having the world’s reserve currency notwithstanding, the United States cannot escape this fate unless it dramatically changes course.

Reducing the U.S. deficit and total national debt is uniquely challenging because 65% of the federal budget is mandatory spending on Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, veterans benefits, and welfare programs. Other categories, such as interest on the national debt, which is likely to reach $1 trillion in 2025, and defense spending, which is about $875 billion, are miscategorized as being discretionary. It’s axiomatic that avoiding national debt default and defending the country is mandatory. So, what is left in truly discretionary federal spending is about 7.5% of the $6.5 trillion federal budget. And even if all that remaining 7.5% of the budget in the so-called truly discretionary category were eliminated, the U.S. would still have a $1.5 trillion deficit as it stands now.

What is needed in addition to spending reductions in some mandatory entitlement programs is finding new sources of revenue. Our massive oil and gas reserves are one of America’s greatest comparative advantages over other nations. The U.S. is now number one among nations in both natural gas and oil reserves at some 264 billion barrels.

Oil and gas are a cheaper and more reliable source of energy than wind and solar, so it is to our comparative advantage to rely more heavily on the former. More reliance on oil and gas hydrocarbons means more self-reliance and less reliance on China, which produces more than 75% of the world’s solar photovoltaic panels and supplies some 80% of the world’s lithium battery cells. In addition, the extraction of hydrocarbons in the U.S. could bend down the trajectory of deficits if a royalty of $10 to $15 on every barrel produced in America went to deficit reduction.

Repatriating manufacturing should be pursued in every industry and sector in which the U.S. has a favorable comparative advantage, such as specialized capital-intensive labor.

The United States ranks first overall in the world in five of the 12 economic pillars: entrepreneurial innovation, labor markets, agriculture, natural resources, and the financial system. All these would benefit from appropriate regulatory relief. And with more profitable entrepreneurial startups, tax revenues are also increased, which goes toward deficit and debt reduction.

Economic growth is always an important driver of deficit and debt reduction because it increases tax revenues. As it turns out, there are four main drivers of economic growth: land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship.

To raise capital to pay down the national debt and bend the debt trajectory toward reduction, the federal government could sell half of its 640 million acres of public land and take in over $1 trillion. All land sales should be limited to Americans and friends of America who plan to use the land for productive purposes.

Lowering the cost of capital is an outcome of inflation reduction. This creates a virtuous cycle of lowering the cost of debt service on the national debt, shrinking the deficit while also stimulating economic activity and raising tax revenue.

While it would be an incredibly positive development if the total U.S. debt is dramatically reduced, the United States needs only to stabilize the national debt at slightly lower levels by undertaking some of these measures while also arriving at a balanced budget. Achieving this is no easy task, but it would go a long way in restoring confidence in the U.S. dollar and American leadership.

Who We Are

The Patriot Post is a highly acclaimed weekday digest of news analysis, policy and opinion written from the heartland — as opposed to the MSM’s ubiquitous Beltway echo chambers — for grassroots leaders nationwide. More

What We Offer

On the Web

We provide solid conservative perspective on the most important issues, including analysis, opinion columns, headline summaries, memes, cartoons and much more.

Via Email

Choose our full-length Digest or our quick-reading Snapshot for a summary of important news. We also offer Cartoons & Memes on Monday and Alexander’s column on Wednesday.

Our Mission

The Patriot Post is steadfast in our mission to extend the endowment of Liberty to the next generation by advocating for individual rights and responsibilities, supporting the restoration of constitutional limits on government and the judiciary, and promoting free enterprise, national defense and traditional American values. We are a rock-solid conservative touchstone for the expanding ranks of grassroots Americans Patriots from all walks of life. Our mission and operation budgets are not financed by any political or special interest groups, and to protect our editorial integrity, we accept no advertising. We are sustained solely by you. Please support The Patriot Fund today!


The Patriot Post and Patriot Foundation Trust, in keeping with our Military Mission of Service to our uniformed service members and veterans, are proud to support and promote the National Medal of Honor Heritage Center, the Congressional Medal of Honor Society, both the Honoring the Sacrifice and Warrior Freedom Service Dogs aiding wounded veterans, the National Veterans Entrepreneurship Program, the Folds of Honor outreach, and Officer Christian Fellowship, the Air University Foundation, and Naval War College Foundation, and the Naval Aviation Museum Foundation. "Greater love has no one than this, to lay down one's life for his friends." (John 15:13)

★ PUBLIUS ★

“Our cause is noble; it is the cause of mankind!” —George Washington

Please join us in prayer for our nation — that righteous leaders would rise and prevail and we would be united as Americans. Pray also for the protection of our Military Patriots, Veterans, First Responders, and their families. Please lift up your Patriot team and our mission to support and defend our Republic's Founding Principle of Liberty, that the fires of freedom would be ignited in the hearts and minds of our countrymen.

The Patriot Post is protected speech, as enumerated in the First Amendment and enforced by the Second Amendment of the Constitution of the United States of America, in accordance with the endowed and unalienable Rights of All Mankind.

Copyright © 2024 The Patriot Post. All Rights Reserved.

The Patriot Post does not support Internet Explorer. We recommend installing the latest version of Microsoft Edge, Mozilla Firefox, or Google Chrome.