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Joe Bastardi / Sep. 1, 2012

Inconvenient Truth: CO2 Disconnect With Global Temps Continues!

With climate change a huge issue this election season, we should review the latest facts on the matter. In the In this chart, CO2 continues its rise. The global temperatures, however, have not only leveled off, they have begun to fall. This result is in line with natural climate cycle theory. If the admission to the school of your choice -- be it Cornell, or lets say Columbia or Harvard -- depended on you answering this question: "Given the facts presented in the chart above, is CO2 driving the Earth's temperature?" How would you answer it?

With climate change a huge issue this election season, we should review the latest facts on the matter. In the following chart, CO2 continues its rise. The global temperatures, however, have not only leveled off, they have begun to fall. This result is in line with natural climate cycle theory:

The temperatures are from the Hadley Center which the IPCC has been using as one of their measuring tools for the global temperature. The dashed blue line represents the sea surface temperature. Since the oceans have 1000 times the heat capacity of the air, and C02 makes up only .0004 of the air (of which man has contributed .00002), logic tells us C02 cannot be causing the warming. The logical conclusion then is that the cyclical nature of the ocean temperatures are a cause, not C02. It makes no sense to blame man, who has contributed .00002 to a gas, which has 1/1000th the heat capacity of the ocean, for the planetary temperature variations.

Using practical application, if the admission to the school of your choice, be it Cornell, or lets say Columbia or Harvard, depended on you answering this question – “Given the facts presented in the chart above, is CO2 driving the Earth’s temperature?” – what would your answer be?

We must face the facts, not imagine them.

Joe Bastardi is chief forecaster at WeatherBELL Analytics, a meteorological consulting firm.

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