Joe Bastardi / October 29, 2013

The One Year Anniversary of Sandy

Should we blame CO2 for nice weather?

With the one year anniversary of Hurricane Sandy here, the predictable chorus of AGW extremists are bringing up the idea that this storm signals an increase in man-caused disasters.

May I suggest this: The beautiful weather on the East Coast on the one year anniversary should be blamed on CO2. In fact, most days along the East Coast around Halloween are fairly nice. So is CO2 to blame for that? If you want to blame it for the occasional days with extreme weather that have not increased over the years, then why not blame it for all the nice days, too?

I showed you the chutzpah of this group. Sandy was a forecastable storm
 as seen here in the post I wrote Oct. 24, 2012, published on the 25th.

Look at the forecasts we issued starting on the 21st before this was even a classified system.

The 28th outlook reveals that, from over a week away, Weatherbell.com was correct in calling for a landfalling hurricane in the Northeast. By the way, the damaging snow idea was issued well in advance, too.

By Monday the 29th, the forecast looked like this:

Not once did CO2 considerations come to mind, but looking at the weather pattern in relation to past events did – most notably Hazel from mid-October, 1954. Figures. The 2013 hurricane season has been so tranquil they have to dig up past events to make their point, even if the storms are well within the realm of natural occurrences.

Joe Bastardi is chief forecaster at WeatherBELL Analytics, a meteorological consulting firm.

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