Obama: 60.6 million or 50.4%. Romney: 57.8 million, 48.1%. Turnout was down 13 million votes and Obama received almost 9 million fewer votes than in 2008. Romney received two million fewer votes than McCain in 2008. Voter turnout of three Democrat constituencies – black, Latino and 18-30-year-old voters – greatly exceeded average turnout for these constituencies prior to 2008, and accounted for 6% of the popular vote – which put Obama over the top. (Underestimating that turnout is why almost all major polling estimates were wrong.)
Women voters cast 53% of all votes, and this election set a gender-gap record (a 20% swing) with Obama’s female support at 62% versus 42% male. The last record was an 18% swing in the 1984 landslide when Ronald Reagan won majorities of both men and women, but carried 78% of men and 60% of women. Of course, a majority of married women voted for Romney. Exit polls in key swing states won by Obama indicated that significantly fewer “faith voters” turned out.
As for the Left’s thematic “Politics of Disparity” and Obama’s class warfare rhetoric, those with incomes over $100,000 voted for Romney over Obama 54% to 44%, but notably, a majority of those with incomes between $50,000 and $100,000 also voted for Romney, 52% to 46%. On the other hand, those earning $50,000 a year or less voted 60% to 38% for Obama. Of course, the bulk of those voters are welfare captives who earn little or no income. So the middle class, the aspiring, and the successful went solidly against Obama, while lower-income voters overwhelmingly supported Obama, or at least the “free stuff” he promised them.
It is also wroth noting that Obama lost all states that require voter photo IDs. He won four states which accept non-photo IDs, such as utility bills and bank statements (Washington, Colorado, Ohio and Virginia). He won the states that require no voter IDs (Minnesota, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada).
Election Analysis – A Failure to Communicate
From down here at ground level, it was apparent that Team Romney had not embraced the messages needed to draw moderate grassroots Americans to his side of the ledger. Weeks ago, Team Patriot prepared and delivered a Memo to Mitt From Grassroots Americans to his communications director. Unfortunately, despite repeated efforts, it did not get through the gauntlet of Romney’s campaign professionals, who seemed certain that they already had the formula for a victory. Maybe it was the price of our advice that caused them to ignore it – it was free.
To better understand what the Romney campaign did not, the last time a GOP presidential contender genuinely identified with grassroots folks and they with him, was 1984, when Ronald Reagan won 525 electoral votes to his Democrat opponent’s 13. (To see what an election map looks like when a presidential candidate has earned the support of grassroots America, click here.) The Reagan model was, and remains, the right road forward.
Could that grassroots memo have made a difference? Well, a swing of a few hundred thousand votes of the tens of millions cast in swing states would have resulted in a Romney win. Could Romney have won if his campaign had done more to invigorate grassroots voters? We’ll never know.
However, what we do know is this. In 2010, the grassroots “Tea Party” movement was solely responsible for a massive swing in the House, handing Republicans a majority. That grassroots movement also chalked up six wins for the Senate. But in 2012, with establishment Republicans running top-down campaigns, the House barely hung on to its Republican majority, and the Senate Republican minority lost two additional seats – and in a year when the Democrats were defending 23 Senate seats to the GOP’s 10. (One notable exception to the Senate fumbles was in Nebraska, where political novice Deb Fischer and her grassroots team, steam-rolled veteran Democrat Bob Kerrey.)
Sen. John Cornyn, the outgoing chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said the 2012 debacle showed “it’s important to have principled conservatives, who not only have the philosophy but also have the qualities as a candidate to run a very good and successful election in the general election.”
The good news – while there was plenty of evidence that Beltway establishment Republicans don’t get it, across the nation, at the state level where Republicans are better in touch with grassroots constituents, they now control 30 state governorships and 27 state legislatures, and twice as many states are under total Republican leadership (governor and both houses) as states controlled by Democrats.
The lessons for 2014 and 2016 are obvious – but that has never stopped establishment Republicans from stealing defeat out of the jaws of victory!
As for the Obama-Biden ticket’s marginal victory certainly does not constitute a mandate, Obama will pursue his statist agenda as if he had won every vote rather than just the slim 50.4 percent majority. His objective remains “fundamentally transforming the United States of America,” and he will pursue the centerpiece of that objective, breaking the back of free enterprise, with vigor.
Mapping the Results
This Election Map Tells the REAL Story. (NOTE: We have taken the Liberty to correct the colors as noted by the map color legend – prior to 1988, election maps used these colors until the Leftmedia changed to Blue for Democrats and Red for Republicans. Clearly, “red” is more applicable to the Socialist Democratic Party.)
This county-by-county election map clearly reveals what state election maps don’t, and what Obama and his Leftist cadres do NOT want you to know.
The assault on Liberty we witnessed Tuesday was led, as in 2008, primarily by urban dwellers, most of whom reside on “government welfare plantations,” and subsist on the spoils of what Obama calls “redistributive justice.” That collectivist constituency now accounts for almost 50 (FIFTY) percent of Obama’s voter base. Socialist Democrats have mastered the practice of co-opting (read: “buying”) their allegiance and getting them to the polls. The good news, as noted previously, is that about nine million fewer Obama voters showed up in 2012.
These state dependents have little or no literacy or interest in social or civic responsibility, our Constitution, economy and free enterprise, or overarching issues such as the crushing national debt. The are largely uneducated, being the product of government schools. This enormous and growing constituency forms the foundation of Obama’s Cloward–Piven strategy – overloading the government welfare system to the point of crisis, requiring the replacement of that system with a state-directed national system of “guaranteed annual income and thus an end to poverty.”
(Oh, did I mention that a county-by-county mapping of the 60 million+ Patriot gun owners looks a lot like the county-by-county election map?)
Next, we have a county-by-county election map with county size weighted according to the number of voters. It clearly and prophetically demonstrates how distorted the national political landscape becomes when controlled by a narrow majority of urban voters.
Let us remember that there are many fellow Patriots living within these urban centers, who endure much more oppressive and intrusive conditions than those of us living outside those areas. Most of them are deprived of the most basic constitutional right to even bear arms amid the social entropy of these urban poverty plantations.
Speaking of election maps, notice the nice lines for secession (Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia, you can join us). In 1860 our nation was divided much along the lines of division we see today. The irony is that then, the conflict was, ostensibly, over those enslaved on rural agricultural plantations. Now the assault on Liberty is led by those enslaved on urban government plantations. I recall these words from fellow Tennessean Nathan Bedford Forrest on the Second War for Independence (as it was known in the South): “I loved the old government. I loved the old Constitution. I do not hate it; I am opposing now only the radical revolutionists who are trying to destroy it.”
Republicans can counter Obama’s platform and restore the integrity of our Constitution, but only if the conservative wing of the Republican Party convinces the rest of the GOP to reconnect with their grassroots base. That will require leaders in the House and Senate who actually get “the grassroots thing,” which the current leadership does not. If they fail to fully adopt the Reagan grassroots model in the upcoming elections, then perhaps it is time for a the states to rally together and form a Constitutional Confederation.