A Very Consequential First Congressional Week
This New Year week will be the most politically significant of the whole year.
There are perilous moving parts this week that will have broad political implications for the coming years.
The House will remain under the dictatorial thumb of leftist Representative Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), who was reelected to her fourth term as speaker. She retained Majority Leader Steny Hoyer and Majority Whip Jim Clyburn as her underbosses.
House Republican leadership remains in the competent hands of Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Minority Whip Steve Scalise. And, notably, Democrats hold a smaller marginal control of the House after their majority was cut down to 222-211 in November, with two seats still open.
In the Senate, the tenures of Leader Mitch McConnell and Majority Whip John Thune, who were reelected in November, hang in the balance of the Georgia runoff elections on Tuesday.
With Republicans now holding 50 seats, if the GOP doesn’t retain at least one Georgia seat, the Senate will be evenly divided, meaning with tie votes, presumed incoming leftist VP and Senate President Kamala Harris will provide the tiebreaker.
Though we expect the GOP will retain at least one of the two contested seats, the runoff results may be delayed given the likely prospect that the results will be contested, despite the fact that basic measures to reduce fraud are in place. Unfortunately, those measures are too little, too late for the integrity of election results in some Democrat states that allowed substantial bulk-mail balloting fraud — the failure to certify who was voting — resulting in contestable November election results.
If both Georgia seats are lost, the presumed incoming president, Joe Biden, will empower Senator Chuck Schumer and his Whip Dick Durbin to do his bidding, including the rapid undoing of many of Donald Trump’s successful initiatives. Regardless, Biden will be rapidly undoing Trump’s executive initiatives by way of reversing or overwriting those executive orders.
The Demos’ ground game in Georgia has proven very effective and, arguably, President Trump’s contesting of the national election and vacillation on the ChiCom Virus pandemic bill for relief funding have undermined conservative voter turnout.
Then, on Wednesday, Congress meets in a joint session to count and certify Electoral College votes, currently standing at 306 electoral votes for Biden and 232 for Trump — the biggest post-election step for a peaceful transition of power.
Senator McConnell declared that the Electoral College vote certification will be “the most consequential I have ever cast.”
It will also be the most controversial, as a group of Senate Republicans headed by Ted Cruz and Josh Hawley will be joined by a contingent of House Republicans contesting the certification. Vice President Mike Pence said, through his chief of staff, that he “welcomes the efforts of members of the House and Senate to use the authority they have under the law to raise objections and bring forward evidence before Congress and the American people.”
Buckle up — this is going to be an interesting week!