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July 19, 2023

Have Demos Finally Discovered the Biden/Harris Problem?

Trump may be the Republican nominee, but I still predict Biden will not be the Demo nominee.

“In selecting men for office, let principle be your guide. Regard not the particular sect or denomination of the candidate — look to his character.” —Noah Webster (1789)

Some of our team thought I had gotten into the back porch whiskey last year when I titled a column, “It’s Official — Biden Is (NOT) Running in 2024.” As I noted then, if Biden makes it to the 2024 presidential primary, he will either intentionally default or withdraw altogether to clear a path for his successor.

A lot has happened since then, including the fact that last year’s midterm “red wave” turned into a “red ripple,” with Republicans barely winning the House and losing the Senate split majority — this despite Biden’s abysmal approval ratings at the time. Of course, Biden finally officially announced his 2024 candidacy in late April, as the slide in his mental acuity continues its downward spiral.

A caveat I noted in my original assessment: If Biden still has a heartbeat and some detectable brain activity, he could become the nominee as a result of the sheer momentum of presidential office. His leftist puppeteers have consolidated an enormous amount of power, and if they believe they can prop up Biden for another term, like the old Soviet Union leaders were propped up by their party powerbrokers, they will vigorously resist allowing him to drop out. They know that Kamala Harris will play along if Biden is reelected and resigns.

They will do so despite the fact that Biden’s average approval polling remains deep under water, though about where Donald Trump polled at this point in his third year. Notably, Biden’s disapproval now is 3% better than that of Trump then. Biden has been mired in that polling ditch for more than a year. Biden’s polling gets even worse when you break down his approval ratings by specifics: Economy, 38%; Crime, 36%; Immigration, 34.6%; Inflation, 33.6%.

Regardless of who the Democrat candidate is, the Democrats’ strategy is predicated on Trump being the nominee. Despite all the pundit chatter to the contrary, central to the Democrats’ 2024 strategy with Trump indictments is keeping Trump in the lead to ensure he eclipses other Republicans like Gov. Ron DeSantis.

I asserted that was their strategy in the run-up to Trump’s first indictment, and apparently I have now been relegated to the trash bin of conspiracy theorists. This week, Fox News’s Bret Baier said to Democrat strategist Leslie Marshall, “I heard a conspiracy theory out there that Democrats are [indicting Trump] to fire him up in the GOP primary in order to face him in the general election.” Marshall replied with a smile indicating this was not conspiracy theory.

Why do they want to face Trump in the general election?

Because Demos believe that DeSantis poses a greater threat to Biden and his alternates, including hair-gel boy Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Robert Kennedy Jr., or maybe even Demo moderate West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin.

Clearly, in DeSantis’s last gubernatorial election, he proved he is a formidable general election candidate with broad appeal deep across party lines into Democrat voting blocs. He won 62 of the state’s 67 counties and beat Democrat challenger Charlie Crist by nearly 20 points, including substantial Hispanic and Demo crossover votes.

So, on what is the Demos’ defeat-Trump calculus based?

First of all, of course Donald Trump is the populist Republican frontrunner right now, despite his J6 baggage and mounting legal problems, including, he says this week, being a target of the Special Counsel January 6 probe that will result in a third indictment.

However, Demos are basing their Trump strategy on the following facts: Trump did not win a popular majority in 2016; he lost House and Senate majorities in 2018; and he was defeated in 2020 thanks to the Demos’ mass media Biden/ChiCom connection blackout and their bulk-mail ballot fraud strategy.

As for questions about Biden’s gutter polling after his election, and the assumption that would result in a massive red wave in the 2022 midterms, as noted above, it didn’t, and it won’t again.

And Demos anticipate that Trump will do substantial fratricidal damage in the Republican Party primary and help pave the way for another Democrat president.

Trump’s fratricidal record is well established, as he has betrayed almost all of his most loyal top administration officials.

He lost the last shred of my respect when he threw his former chief of staff Gen. John Kelly under a bus after he resigned, as he had done with Gens. Mattis and Dunsford. Trump declared in typical disdain: “When I terminated John Kelly, which I couldn’t do fast enough, he knew full well that he was way over his head. … But like so many X’s, he misses the action and just can’t keep his mouth shut.” The hypocritical irony is, of course, that it is Trump who can’t “keep his mouth shut.” Predictably, he also threw the remaining three key people who gave his administration gravitas under a bus: Vice President Mike Pence, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Attorney General William Barr.

Most recently he attacked his exceptional former White House press secretary, Kayleigh McEnany, calling her “Milktoast McEnany,” a petulant and sophomoric label almost as lame as his “Ron DeSanctimonious” label.

Those factors, combined with the fact that Demos will again turn out massive “Fear Trump” voters as they did in 2020, including a majority of their women voters, especially after SCOTUS reversed Roe v. Wade, are the core of their strategy to defeat Trump.

There are two wild cards that might take out Biden. First, he becomes completely incapacitated; and second, he’s unable to cop a back-room plea deal to short-circuit the “Big Guy” corruption connection in the Hunter Biden investigation.

Of course, I could be wrong…

All said, as Douglas Andrews noted this week, some Democrats and their Leftmedia talkingheads and scribes are now saying out loud what they were only whispering weeks ago — Biden and Harris need to get out of the way.

The leftist Atlantic just published a piece titled “Step Aside, Joe.” CNN’s Fareed Zakaria suggested Biden should “step aside and let another generation of Democrats take the baton.” CNN even reported that key Demos are saying “President Joe Biden won’t actually be running for reelection” and that “top Democrats and donors” are getting behind “possible replacements.”

The New Republic is pleading with Democrats to “wake the hell up.” NBC reports that 68% of voters are very concerned about Biden’s mental and physical status. HuffPo warns, “Democrats have doubts.”

All this as Kamala Harris’s net favorability rating hits an all-time low for any vice president.

So, while it looks like Trump may be the Republican nominee, I still predict Biden will not be the Demo nominee. But again, I could be wrong…

(Note: If Trump wins the nomination, he will be older than Ronald Reagan was when he left office.)

Semper Vigilans Fortis Paratus et Fidelis
Pro Deo et Libertate — 1776

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